Printed from https://fyi.org.nz/request/34499-follow-up-oia-ministerial-requests-and-scenario-updates on April 17, 2026 02:52

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Follow‑up OIA – Ministerial Requests and Scenario Updates

Nigel Gray made this Official Information request to The Treasury

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From: Nigel Gray

To: The Treasury
Subject: Follow‑up OIA – Ministerial Requests and Scenario Updates
Dear The Treasury,
Under the Official Information Act 1982, I request the following information.

1. Ministerial Requests to Treasury
All records that show whether, since 1 February 2024, the Minister of Finance or the Minister’s Office has requested from Treasury:

a. information,
b. analysis,
c. updates,
d. forecasts, or
e. briefings

relating to:

GST revenue levels or GST revenue changes

GST sensitivity to fuel price movements

fiscal implications of fuel price increases

the developing situation in the Middle East and its impact on fiscal forecasts

This includes any record of the request itself, regardless of whether written material was subsequently produced.

2. Treasury Responses to the Minister of Finance
All records that show whether Treasury has provided the Minister of Finance or the Minister’s Office with:

updates

forecasts

scenario analysis

fiscal commentary

talking points

verbal briefing notes

weekly report extracts

relating to:

GST impacts of fuel price movements

fiscal implications of fuel price increases

forecast scenarios updated due to the developing situation in the Middle East

I am requesting the existence, nature, and dates of such material, not the content of any withheld documents.

3. Forecast Scenario Updates
All records that document or describe the “forecast scenarios” Treasury is updating in relation to the developing situation in the Middle East, as referenced in the Minister of Finance’s letter dated 15 April 2026.

This includes:

scenario assumptions

scenario inputs

scenario outputs

scenario update logs

records of transmission to the Minister or Minister’s Office

4. Document Existence Confirmation
If any information is withheld, please confirm:

a. whether the documents exist, and
b. the grounds for withholding under the OIA.

Yours faithfully,

Nigel Gray

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From: Ministerial Services Inbox [TSY]
The Treasury

Good afternoon

Thank you for your request under the Official Information Act 1982, which was received on 15 April 2026. A response will be provided in accordance with the Act.

The Treasury may publish the response to your Official Information Act (OIA) request. When you are provided with a response to this request, you will be informed about whether the response to your OIA request will be published. If the Treasury does publish the response to your OIA request, personal information, including your name and contact details, will be removed. This publication process does not apply to extension letters or transfers.

Kind regards
Nikki

Te Tai Ōhanga The Treasury
Ministerial Advisory Service, Senior Ministerial Advisor
Strategy and Executive Services, Enabling Services Group
treasury.govt.nz | LinkedIn | Youtube

[IN-CONFIDENCE]

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