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Youth wellbeing

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From: Hayden

Dear The Treasury,

Treasury's Te Tai Waiora 2022 identified rapidly increasing youth psychological distress, worst-in-OECD teen suicide rates, declining youth educational achievement, and housing unaffordability as major threats to future wellbeing. Treasury's fiscal projections simultaneously assume sustained workforce growth and tax revenue expansion from the same cohort experiencing these outcomes. What analysis has Treasury conducted to quantify:
(a) the fiscal impact of youth mortality, declining mental health, and reduced workforce participation on projected revenue;
(b) the contribution of Treasury's own fiscal policy settings — including benefit adequacy, housing policy, and the allocation of $3B in new defence spending (which Treasury itself estimated would halve child poverty if redirected) — to the deterioration in youth outcomes that Treasury's own wellbeing reporting identifies; and
(c) whether Treasury's revenue projections remain valid given the compound effect of worsening youth outcomes on the future tax base?"

Yours faithfully,

Hayden

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From: Ministerial Services Inbox [TSY]
The Treasury

Dear Hayden

Thank you for your request under the Official Information Act 1982, which was received on 1 March 2026. A response will be provided in accordance with the Act.

The Treasury may publish the response to your Official Information Act (OIA) request. When you are provided with a response to this request, you will be informed about whether the response to your OIA request will be published. If the Treasury does publish the response to your OIA request, personal information, including your name and contact details, will be removed. This publication process does not apply to extension letters or transfers.

Ngā mihi
Ministerial Advisory Service | Te Tai Ōhanga The Treasury 
treasury.govt.nz | LinkedIn | Youtube 

[IN-CONFIDENCE]
                                                       
CONFIDENTIALITY NOTICE
The information in this email is confidential to the Treasury, intended only for the addressee(s), and may also be legally privileged. If you are not an intended addressee:
a. please immediately delete this email and notify the Treasury by return email or telephone (64 4 472 2733);
b. any use, dissemination or copying of this email is strictly prohibited and may be unlawful.

-----Original Message-----
From: Hayden <[FOI #33906 email]>
Sent: Sunday, 1 March 2026 6:32 pm
To: Ministerial Services Inbox [TSY] <[The Treasury request email]>
Subject: Official Information request - Youth wellbeing

Dear The Treasury,

Treasury's Te Tai Waiora 2022 identified rapidly increasing youth psychological distress, worst-in-OECD teen suicide rates, declining youth educational achievement, and housing unaffordability as major threats to future wellbeing. Treasury's fiscal projections simultaneously assume sustained workforce growth and tax revenue expansion from the same cohort experiencing these outcomes. What analysis has Treasury conducted to quantify:
(a) the fiscal impact of youth mortality, declining mental health, and reduced workforce participation on projected revenue;
(b) the contribution of Treasury's own fiscal policy settings — including benefit adequacy, housing policy, and the allocation of $3B in new defence spending (which Treasury itself estimated would halve child poverty if redirected) — to the deterioration in youth outcomes that Treasury's own wellbeing reporting identifies; and
(c) whether Treasury's revenue projections remain valid given the compound effect of worsening youth outcomes on the future tax base?"

Yours faithfully,

Hayden

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From: Ministerial Services Inbox [TSY]
The Treasury


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Kia ora Hayden,

 

Please find attached a reply to your OIA request. Please note that this
response has been signed out via an electronic process, rather than a
physical signature.

 

Ngā mihi

Ministerial Advisory Service | Te Tai Ōhanga The Treasury 

[1]treasury.govt.nz | [2]LinkedIn | [3]Youtube 

 

 

[IN-CONFIDENCE]

                                                       

CONFIDENTIALITY NOTICE

The information in this email is confidential to the Treasury, intended
only for the addressee(s), and may also be legally privileged. If you are
not an intended addressee:

a. please immediately delete this email and notify the Treasury by return
email or telephone (64 4 472 2733);

b. any use, dissemination or copying of this email is strictly prohibited
and may be unlawful.

 

 

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