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Official Information Act Request – Epidemiological Modelling Relied Upon for COVID-19 Policy Decisions

John Armstrong made this Official Information request to Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet

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From: John Armstrong

Dear Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet,

This request is made under the Official Information Act 1982.

I request copies of epidemiological modelling, scenario analyses, or projections that were provided to Ministers or Cabinet to support decisions relating to:

• COVID-19 lockdown measures
• vaccine mandates
• vaccination strategies.

The timeframe for this request is 1 March 2020 to 31 December 2022.

If modelling was commissioned from external organisations or academic institutions, please include those reports.

Yours faithfully,

John Armstrong

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From: Information [DPMC]
Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet

Tēnā koe, 

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If your correspondence is intended for the Prime Minister please email his
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other Members of Parliament can be found at
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Common questions:

Official Information Act (OIA) requests will be formally acknowledged
during office hours and actioned accordingly. For more information about
the statutory OIA timeframes please see
[3]http://www.ombudsman.parliament.nz/.
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Zealand. Please see [5]https://www.immigration.govt.nz/. 
We hope one of the above links helps answer your question.
Kind regards,
Department of Prime Minister and Cabinet
Link: [6]File-List
Link: [7]Edit-Time-Data
Link: [8]themeData
Link: [9]colorSchemeMapping

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From: Information [DPMC]
Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet


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[IN-CONFIDENCE]

 

Kia ora,

 

Thank you for your request under the Official Information Act 1982 (OIA)
received on 12 March 2026, copied below. We will respond to your request
within the statutory timeframes set out in the Act. If we are unable to
meet these timeframes we will notify you.

 

Your request will be managed by the Ministerial Services team within DPMC.
If you have any queries, please feel free to contact us at
[1][DPMC request email].

 

DPMC may publish the response to your OIA request. If we publish the
response your personal information, including your name and contact
details, will be removed.

 

Ngā mihi,

 

Ministerial Coordinator
Ministerial Services
Corporate
Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet
E    [2][DPMC request email]
 
 
The information contained in this email message is for the attention of
the intended recipient only and is not necessarily the official view or
communication of the Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet. If you
are not the intended recipient you must not disclose, copy or distribute
this message or the information in it. If you have received this message
in error, please destroy the email and notify the sender immediately.

 

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From: Information [DPMC]
Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet


Attachment image002.png
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Attachment Partial transfer letter.pdf
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[UNCLASSIFIED]

 

Kia ora,

 

Please see the attached letter regarding your recent OIA request.

 

Ngā mihi,

 

Ministerial Coordinator
Ministerial Services
Corporate
Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet
E    [1][DPMC request email]
 
 
The information contained in this email message is for the attention of
the intended recipient only and is not necessarily the official view or
communication of the Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet. If you
are not the intended recipient you must not disclose, copy or distribute
this message or the information in it. If you have received this message
in error, please destroy the email and notify the sender immediately.

 

Link: [2]File-List
Link: [3]Edit-Time-Data
Link: [4]themeData
Link: [5]colorSchemeMapping

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The information contained in this email message is for the attention of
the intended recipient only and is not necessarily the official view or
communication of the Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet. If you
are not the intended recipient you must not disclose, copy or distribute
this message or the information in it. If you have received this message
in error, please destroy the email and notify the sender immediately.

 

References

Visible links
1. mailto:[DPMC request email]
2. file:///tmp/Signature_files/filelist.xml
3. file:///tmp/Signature_files/editdata.mso
4. file:///tmp/Signature_files/themedata.thmx
5. file:///tmp/Signature_files/colorschememapping.xml
6. file:///tmp/Signature_files/filelist.xml
7. file:///tmp/Signature_files/editdata.mso
8. file:///tmp/Signature_files/themedata.thmx
9. file:///tmp/Signature_files/colorschememapping.xml

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From: OIA Requests


Attachment image.png
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Kia ora John,

  

Thank you for your request under the Official Information Act 1982 (the
Act), received by the Ministry of Health - Manatû Hauora on 17 March 2026.
You requested:

 

“I request copies of epidemiological modelling, scenario analyses, or
projections that were provided to Ministers or Cabinet to support
decisions relating to:
 

• COVID-19 lockdown measures
• vaccine mandates
• vaccination strategies.
 

The timeframe for this request is 1 March 2020 to 31 December 2022. If
modelling was commissioned from external organisations or academic
institutions, please include those reports.”
 

The reference number for your request is H2026080193. We will endeavour to
respond to your request as soon as possible and in any event no later than
16 April 2026 being 20 working days after the day your request was
received. If we are unable to respond to your request by then, we will
notify you of an extension of that timeframe.

 

If you have any queries regarding your request, please feel free to
contact the OIA Services Team on [1][email address]. If any
additional factors come to light which are relevant to your request,
please do not hesitate to contact us so that these can be taken into
account. 

 

Under section 28(3) of the Act you have the right to ask the Ombudsman to
review any decisions made under this request. The Ombudsman may be
contacted by email at: [2][email address] or by calling 0800
802 602.

 

 

Ngâ mihi, 
 
OIA Services Team

Ministry of Health | Manatû Hauora

 

M[3]inistry of Health information releases

 

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References

Visible links
1. mailto:[email address]
mailto:[email address]
2. mailto:[email address]
mailto:[email address]
3. https://www.health.govt.nz/about-ministr...
https://www.health.govt.nz/about-ministr...

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