Unemployment advice

Adam Irish made this Official Information request to Reserve Bank of New Zealand

The request was partially successful.

From: Adam Irish

Dear Reserve Bank of New Zealand,

I am writing to request information under the Official Information Act regarding the consultation process that the RBNZ undertakes with the Ministry of Social Development, The Treasury, and Immigration New Zealand regarding its forecasted unemployment rate.

The trade-off that the RBNZ makes in relation to tightening monetary policy and the pace at which it pursues its target inflation level of 1 to 3 percent evidently impacts unemployment levels, as represented by the somewhat semi-strong Phillips curve relationship. I am interested in understanding whether the RBNZ communicates these forecasts to the government and provides advice on the necessary fiscal support for beneficiaries and the reduced migration levels required to address rising unemployment.

It appears that external price shocks are influencing commodity prices, and the RBNZ's historically loose monetary policy (as indicated by the increased growth in the M3 money supply in 2020:(https://tradingeconomics.com/new-zealand...)) is thanks to past interest rate decisions is, in part, contributing to growing unemployment. Considering the recent actions taken by the new government against the unemployed, effectively pushing some victims of the RBNZ's monetary policy and the government's fiscal decisions, I am curious about the guidance provided by the RBNZ to the government regarding fiscal policy, its implications for unemployment, and the recommended fiscal response to balance its monetary policy actions.

I appreciate your attention to these inquiries and look forward to receiving the relevant information.

Yours sincerely,

Adam

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From: RBNZ Info
Reserve Bank of New Zealand

Kia ora, 

  

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From: Ministerial correspondence Mailbox
Reserve Bank of New Zealand


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20/02/2024

 

 

Adam Irish

[1][FOI #25791 email]

 

 

Dear Adam

 

Official information request for information on unemployment advice

Thank you for your official information request of 19/02/2024 for:

 

regarding the consultation process that the RBNZ undertakes with the
Ministry of Social Development, The Treasury, and Immigration New Zealand
regarding its forecasted unemployment rate.

The trade-off that the RBNZ makes in relation to tightening monetary
policy and the pace at which it pursues its target inflation level of 1 to
3 percent evidently impacts unemployment levels, as represented by the
somewhat semi-strong Phillips curve relationship. I am interested in
understanding whether the RBNZ communicates these forecasts to the
government and provides advice on the necessary fiscal support for
beneficiaries and the reduced migration levels required to address rising
unemployment.

It appears that external price shocks are influencing commodity prices,
and the RBNZ's historically loose monetary policy (as indicated by the
increased growth in the M3 money supply in
2020:(https://tradingeconomics.com/new-zealand...)) is thanks
to past interest rate decisions is, in part, contributing to growing
unemployment. Considering the recent actions taken by the new government
against the unemployed, effectively pushing some victims of the RBNZ's
monetary policy and the government's fiscal decisions, I am curious about
the guidance provided by the RBNZ to the government regarding fiscal
policy, its implications for unemployment, and the recommended fiscal
response to balance its monetary policy actions.

 

We will endeavour to respond to your request as soon as possible and in
any event no later than 18/03/2024, being 20 working days after the day of
your request. If we are unable to respond to your request by then, we will
notify you of an extension of that timeframe.

 

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Yours sincerely

Government and Industry Relations Team

  Reserve Bank of New Zealand –
Te Pūtea Matua

2 The Terrace, Wellington 6011.  
PO Box 2498, Wellington 6140
[5][IMG] [6][IMG] [7][IMG] [8][IMG] [9][IMG]
E
[3][email address]  
W [4]rbnz.govt.nz

 

 

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From: Ministerial correspondence Mailbox
Reserve Bank of New Zealand


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Dear Adam

 

Please find attached the response to your request of 19 February 2024.

 

Yours sincerely

 

Government and Industry Relations

Reserve Bank of New Zealand – Te Pūtea [2]Text Description automatically
Matua generated

2 The Terrace, Wellington 6011. PO Box    
2498, Wellington 6140

W [1]rbnz.govt.nz

 

 

 

This message (and any files transmitted with it) are confidential and may
be legally privileged. If you are not the intended recipient please notify
the sender immediately and delete this message from your system.

This message does not necessarily reflect the views of the Reserve Bank of
New Zealand. If the recipient has any concerns about the content of this
message they should seek alternative confirmation from the Reserve Bank of
New Zealand.

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