Justice Centre | 19 Aitken Street
DX SX10088 | Wellington
T 04 918 8800 |
F 04 918 8820
[email address] | www.justice.govt.nz
21 October 2024
David Farrar
[FYI request #28369 email]
Our ref: OIA 116104
Tēnā koe David
Official Information Act request: Government target 4 data
Thank you for your email of 12 September 2024, to the Department of the Prime Minister
and Cabinet (DPMC), requesting under the Official Information Act 1982 (the Act),
information on Government target data. Specifically, you requested:
Your factsheets at https://www.dpmc.govt.nz/our-programmes/government-targets on
the nine Government Targets have charts showing historical information for each
target. Can I have the data that each chart is based on please.
On 23 September 2024, your request was partially transferred to the Ministry of Justice (the
Ministry) for response under section 14(b)(ii) of the Act, as the Ministry is responsible for
producing target 4 data.
Please note the Ministry’s response is limited to the data for target 4 and that while the
Ministry supplied Oranga Tamariki with the core data to measure target 3, it did not model or
estimate the trajectory. Therefore, Oranga Tamariki will be responding to the part of your
request regarding target 3.
In response to your request please see the attached table which shows the number of adults
who experienced an assault, robbery or sexual assault.
If you require any further information, please contact Media & Social Media Manager Joe
Locke at [email address].
Please note that this response, with your personal details removed, may be published on the
Ministry website at: justice.govt.nz/about/official-information-act-requests/oia-responses/
If you are not satisfied with this response, you have the right to make a complaint to the
Ombudsman under section 28(3) of the Act. The Office of the Ombudsman may be
contacted by email to [email address] or by phone on 0800 802 602.
Nāku noa, nā
Rebecca Parish
General Manager, Sector Insights
Table 1: Number of adults who experienced an assault, robbery or sexual assault
(NZCVS)
* MoE stands for Margin of Error
MoE
Estimated
MoE
Date
Historical
Actual
MoE actual estimated
trajectory
historical
trajectory
Oct-18
177,075
25,059
Oct-19
183,931
22,937
Oct-20
178,789
25,202
Oct-21
174,486
23,939
Oct-22
162,403
29,757
Oct-23
184,815
184,815
184,815
28,845
Nov-23
189,407
Dec-23
190,590
194,000
28,795
Jan-24
196,000
Feb-24
198,000
Mar-24
205,249
200,000
36,005
Apr-24
201,333
May-24
202,667
Jun-24
214,737
204,000
35,945
Jul-24
205,000
Aug-24
206,000
Sep-24
207,000
Oct-24
207,667
Nov-24
208,333
Dec-24
209,000
Jan-25
209,333
Feb-25
209,667
Mar-25
210,000
Apr-25
209,667
May-25
209,333
Jun-25
209,000
Jul-25
208,500
Aug-25
208,000
Sep-25
207,500
Oct-25
206,667
Nov-25
205,833
Dec-25
205,000
Jan-26
204,333
Feb-26
203,667
Mar-26
203,000
Apr-26
202,000
May-26
201,000
Jun-26
200,000
MoE
Estimated
MoE
Date
Historical
Actual
MoE actual estimated
trajectory
historical
trajectory
Jul-26
198,952
Aug-26
197,905
Sep-26
196,857
Oct-26
195,810
Nov-26
194,762
Dec-26
193,714
Jan-27
192,667
Feb-27
191,619
Mar-27
190,571
Apr-27
189,524
May-27
188,476
Jun-27
187,429
Jul-27
186,381
Aug-27
185,333
Sep-27
184,286
Oct-27
183,238
Nov-27
182,190
Dec-27
181,143
Jan-28
180,095
Feb-28
179,048
Mar-28
178,000
Apr-28
177,000
May-28
176,000
Jun-28
175,000
Jul-28
174,000
Aug-28
173,000
Sep-28
172,000
Oct-28
171,333
Nov-28
170,667
Dec-28
170,000
Jan-29
169,333
Feb-29
168,667
Mar-29
168,000
Apr-29
167,333
May-29
166,667
Jun-29
166,000
Jul-29
165,833
Aug-29
165,667
Sep-29
165,500
Oct-29
165,333
Nov-29
165,167
Dec-29
165,000
24,277
Notes:
• The estimated trajectory was estimated in March 2024.
• These is uncertainty in the estimates due to sample error as the estimates come from the
New Zealand Crime and Victim Survey. As such, each estimate has an associated Margin of
Error (MoE) accompanying it. The MoE represents the 95% Confidence Interval and is a
measure of statistical uncertainty. The higher the MoE, the greater the uncertainty in the
estimates.
