Fw Traffic Modelling 20230831.pdf

From:
Suzanne Rushmere
Sent:
Thursday, 31 August 2023 1:01 pm
To:
Dave Smith; Jared White
Cc:
Emily Thomson; Patrick Hanaray
Subject:
FW: Traffic Modelling
Attachments:
Traffic Modelling Phasing and Numbers.xlsx; UHCC Greenfield development areas
V1.jpg
Hi Both
Please see major schemes in LTP below.
Also a ached is the “phasing and numbers” spreadsheet for business and housing, this is based on demand from the
HBA.
The spreadsheet should hopefully be largely self-explanatory.
The sheets with the green tabs have the data for the model in them (others are just background data).
For housing scenarios 1 to 3 the demand for each SA2 is broken down year on year and have packaged them up into
model years (red text).
The Southern Growth area is split over two SA2 areas (Silverstream and Pinehaven).
Also a ached is the mapped loca ons of the greenﬁeld sites. Hopefully this is helpful.
The scenarios have dropped to 3 so hopefully this will help with  meframes etc.
Business scenario can probably go in all housing scenario model runs. I have also included the employee ra os from
the HBA in the business scenario tab so you can convert ﬂoorspace into number of employees.
The demand for educa on is included in the business scenario spreadsheet but not allocated to business areas for
obvious reasons. It is not an cipated that we will get new schools so I would suggest just spreading the demand
across the exis ng sites.
Please shout out if you need any clariﬁca on on anything.
Suze
Type of projects (eg.
Location (SA2 Suburb)
below)
Major projects listed on page 24 0f 296 https://www.upperhuttcity.com/files/assets/public/yourcouncil/uhcc_ltp2021
UHCC
All
All
2031_web.pdf
Ebentown/Upper Hutt
UHCC
Central
Wastewater
Waste Water Joint Venture (Page 22 and 132 LTP)
UHCC
Heretaunga
Roading
Silverstream Bridge Replacement (Page 22 and 137 LTP)
UHCC
Wallaceville
Roading
Fergusson/Ward/Whakatiki intersection (Page 22and 136 LTP)
UHCC
All
Roading
Rural Road High Priority Safety Projects (Page 22 and 142 LTP)
UHCC
All
Roading
Active Mode Transport Programme (Page 22 and 143 LTP)
UHCC
Upper Hutt Central
Roading
Fergusson/Gibbons/Main Street Intersection (Page 22 and 150 LTP)
UHCC
Totara Park
Roading
Widen Totara Park Bridge Page (22 and 144 LTP)
1

UHCC
Upper Hutt Central
Roading
City Centre Paving Revitilisation (Page 22 and 130 LTP)
UHCC
Upper Hutt Central
Community facilities  H2O Extreme Upgrade (Page 22 and 147 LTP)
UHCC
Upper Hutt Central
Community facilities  Civic Centre Upgrade (Page 22 and 146 LTP)
UHCC
Upper Hutt Central
Community facilities  Maidstone Community Sports Hub (Page 22 and 148 LTP)
UHCC
Upper Hutt Central
Community facilities  New Community Hub (Page 22 and 151 LTP)
UHCC
Birchvil e-Brown Owl
Community facilities  Akatarawa Cemetery Redeveloment (Page 22 and 149 LTP)
UHCC
Upper Hutt Central
Community facilities  Maidstone Artificial Turf Replacement (page 22 and 131 LTP)
UHCC
Pinehaven
Stormwater
Pinehaven Stream Capacity Upgrade (Page 22 and 145 LTP)
UHCC
Al
Three Waters
Renewals Programme (Page 22 and 129 LTP)
UHCC
Al
Parks
Renewals Programme (Page 22and 129 LTP)
UHCC
Al
Property
Renewals Programme (Page 22 and 129 LTP)
UHCC
Al
Roading
Renewals Programme (Page 22and 129 LTP)
UHCC
Trientham South
Transport
$12.4m IAF fund to fund transport infrastructure and support new development.

2

Scenario 1
Phasing
2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050 2051 2052 2053 Total Demand
Notes
2033 2043 2053 Total
Standalone %
Attatched %
Akatarawa (0)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
37
0
0
0
0
91
9
Birchvil e-Brown Owl (0.5)
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
210
345
70
70
70
210
85
15
Brentwood
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
450
391
150 150 150
450
93
7
Clouston Park
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
450
379
150 150 150
450
88
12
Ebdentown
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
450
429
150 150 150
450
80
20
Elderslea
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
450
369
150 150 150
450
87
13
Heretaunga
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
450
439
150 150 150
450
88
12
Mangaroa (0)
0
40
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
220
181
Includes Gabites (220) 40 Urban Lots Rest Smal Scale Rural
200
20
0
220
98
2
Maoribank (0.5)
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
210
362
70
70
70
210
84
16
Pinehaven (0.5)
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
240
626
80
80
80
240
35
65
Poets Block
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
450
424
150 150 150
450
97
3
Riverstone Terraces (0)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
325
0
0
0
0
51
49
Silverstream
15
15
15
15
15
15
65
95
95
95
95
95
95
85
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15 1050
353
Includes St Pats (600)
440 460 150
1050
92
8
Te Marua (0.5)
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
210
326
70
70
70
210
54
46
Totara Park (0)
0
0
0
0
0
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
400
373
Includes Canon Point (400)
250 150
0
400
95
5
Trentham North (0.5)
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
210
369
70
70
70
210
60
40
Trentham South
15
15
15
15 187 187 187 187 187
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15 1310
582
Includes Trentham PDA (860)
1010 150 150
1310
45
55
Upper Hutt Central
15
15
15
15
16
16
16
16
65
65
65
65
65
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
721
134
Includes Kingsley Heights (250)
254 307 160
721
97
3
Wal acevil e
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
450
366
150 150 150
450
71
29
Greenfield Phasing
2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050 2051 2052 2053
Trentham PDA
860
172 172 172 172 172
St Patricks
600
50
80
80
80
80
80
80
70
Kingsley Heights
250
50
50
50
50
50
Canon Point
400
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
Gabites
220
40
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
Southern Growth Areas
1500
50
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
60
40
30
30
30
Gil espies
1000
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
Intensification = Total demand (7931) less greenfields
5601
This colour = No infil
This colour = Half infil of other SA2's
This colour = Greenfields in scenario
This colour = Greenfield out of scenario
This colour = Demand outstrips supply

Scenario 2
Phasing
2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050 2051 2052 2053 Total Demand
Notes
2033 2043 2053
Total
Standalone %
Attatched %
Akatarawa (0)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
37
0
0
0
0
91
9
Birchvil e-Brown Owl (0.5)
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
54
54
54
54
54
54
54
54
54
54
54
54
54
54
54
54
54
54
54
54 1120
345
Includes Gil espies (1000)
40
540 540
1120
85
15
Brentwood
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9 270
391
90
90
90
270
93
7
Clouston Park
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9 270
379
90
90
90
270
88
12
Ebdentown
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9 270
429
90
90
90
270
80
20
Elderslea
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9 270
369
90
90
90
270
87
13
Heretaunga
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9 270
439
90
90
90
270
88
12
Mangaroa (0)
0
40
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0 220
181
Includes Gabites (220)
200
20
0
220
98
2
Maoribank (0.5)
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4 120
362
40
40
40
120
84
16
Pinehaven (0.5)
4
4
4
4
4
4
29
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
34
24
19
19
19 870
626
Includes Half of Southern Growth Area (750)
170 390 310
870
35
65
Poets Block
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9 270
424
90
90
90
270
97
3
Riverstone Terraces (0)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
325
0
0
0
0
51
49
Silverstream
8
8
8
8
8
8
79 119 119 119 119 119 119 109
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
34
24
19
19
19 1494
353
Includes St Pats (600) and half of Southern Growth (750)
484 700 310
1494
92
8
Te Marua (0.5)
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4 120
326
40
40
40
120
54
46
Totara Park (0)
0
0
0
0
0
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
400
373
Includes Canon Point (400)
250 150
0
400
95
5
Trentham North (0.5)
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4 120
369
40
40
40
120
60
40
Trentham South
8
8
8
8 180 180 180 180 180
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8 1100
582
Includes Trentham PDA (860)
940
80
80
1100
45
55
Upper Hutt Central
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
58
58
58
58
58
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8 490
134
Includes Kingsley Heights (250)
180 230
80
490
97
3
Wal acevil e
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8 257
366
90
87
80
257
71
29
Greenfield Phasing
2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050 2051 2052 2053
Trentham PDA
860
172 172 172 172 172
St Patricks
600
50
80
80
80
80
80
80
70
Kingsley Heights
250
50
50
50
50
50
Canon Point
400
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
Gabites
220
40
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
Southern Growth Area
1500
50
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
60
40
30
30
30
Gil espies
1000
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
Intensification = Total demand (7931) less greenfields
3101
This colour = No infil
This colour = Half infil of other SA2's
This colour = Greenfields in scenario
This colour = Greenfield out of scenario
This colour = Demand outstrips supply
Half of Southern Growth as split over two zones
25
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
30
20
15
15
15

Scenario 3
Phasing
2024
2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050 2051 2052 2053 Total
Demand
Notes
2033 2043 2053 Total Standalone % Attatched %
Akatarawa (0)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
37
0
0
0
0
91
9
Birchvil e-Brown Owl (0.5)
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
54
54
54
54
54
54
54
54
54
54
54
54
54
54
54
54
54
54
54
54
1120
345
Includes Gil espies (1000)
40
540
540 1120
85
15
Brentwood
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
270
391
90
90
90
270
93
7
Clouston Park
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
270
379
90
90
90
270
88
12
Ebdentown
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
270
429
90
90
90
270
80
20
Elderslea
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
270
369
90
90
90
270
87
13
Heretaunga
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
270
439
90
90
90
270
88
12
Mangaroa (0)
0
40
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
220
181
Includes Gabites (220)
200
20
0
220
98
2
Maoribank (0.5)
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
120
362
40
40
40
120
84
16
Pinehaven (0.5)
4
4
29
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
34
24
19
19
19
4
4
4
4
870
626
Includes Half of Southern Growth Area (750)
310 390
170
870
35
65
Poets Block
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
270
424
90
90
90
270
97
3
Riverstone Terraces (0)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
325
Includes St Pats (600)
0
0
0
0
51
49
Silverstream
8
8
79 119 119 119 119 119 119 109
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
34
24
19
19
19
8
8
8
8
1494
353
Includes St Pats (600) and half of Southern Growth (750)
918 390
186 1494
92
8
Te Marua (0.5)
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
120
326
40
40
40
120
54
46
Totara Park (0)
0
0
0
0
0
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
400
373
Includes Canon Point (400)
250 150
0
400
95
5
Trentham North (0.5)
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
120
369
40
40
40
120
60
40
Trentham South
8
8
8
8 180 180 180 180 180
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
1100
582
Includes Trentham PDA (860)
940
80
80
1100
45
55
Upper Hutt Central
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
58
58
58
58
58
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
490
134
Includes Kingsley Heights (250)
180 230
80
490
97
3
Wal acevil e
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
257
366
90
87
80
257
71
29
Greenfield Phasing
2024
2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050 2051 2052 2053
Trentham PDA
860
172 172 172 172 172
St Patricks
600
50
80
80
80
80
80
80
70
Kingsley Heights
250
50
50
50
50
50
Canon Point
400
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
Gabites
220
40
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
Southern Growth Area
1500
50
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
60
40
30
30
30
Gil espies
1000
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
Intensification = Total demand (7931) less greenfields
3101
This colour = No infil
This colour = Half infil of other SA2's
This colour = Greenfields in scenario
This colour = Greenfield out of scenario
This colour = Demand outstrips supply
1/2 of Southern Growth as split over two zones
25
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
30
20
15
15
15
Need maps of greenfields for Ableys
Which SA2 Zones are SGA

Total
2033
2043
2053
Al ocation Commercial  Education  Government Healthcare
Industrial Other  Retail  Commercial  Education  Government Healthcare
Industrial Other  Retail  Commercial  Education  Government Healthcare
Industrial Other  Retail
Neighbourhood Centres St Pats
1680
0
0
0
0
0
0
430
0
0
0
500
0
0
250
0
0
0
250
0
0
250
Alexander Road
20736
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9184
0
0
0
0
0
0
11552
0
0
Eastern Hutt Road
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Fergusson Drive Silverstream
1500
0
0
0
0
0
0
500
0
0
0
0
500
0
0
0
0
0
0
500
0
0
Lane Street
20736
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9184
0
0
0
0
0
0
11552
0
0
Lower Fergusson
500
0
0
0
0
0
0
500
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Maymorn
20736
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9184
0
0
0
0
0
0
11552
0
0
Montgomery Crescent
20736
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9184
0
0
0
0
0
0
11552
0
0
Park Street
20736
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9184
0
0
0
0
0
0
11552
0
0
Silverstream
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Upper Fergusson
200
0
0
0
0
0
0
200
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Upper Hutt CBD
83715
2500
0
0
790
0
0
10512
3500
0
789
8536
0
0
19038
3000
0
4272
9705
0
0
21073
Ward Street
6816
0
0
6000
0
0
0
0
0
0
416
0
0
0
0
0
0
400
0
0
0
0
Whakatiki Street
20736
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9184
0
0
0
0
0
0
11552
0
0
Trentham PDA
26780
8500
0
0
4000
0
9300
4980
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Total
245607
2796
4345
2589
4790
-3966
1640 17122
4538
11816
4616
9036
55604
3226 19288
5084
13101
4672
9955
69812
3128 21323