This is an HTML version of an attachment to the Official Information request 'CTAG Threat Insight reports'.
Released by 
Director-General of Security
The  fol owing  is  summarised  information  from  a  Combined  Threat  Assessment  Group  (CTAG) 
Threat Insight. Where possible, excerpts of the original document have been used. Some details 
are withheld under section 6(a) of the Official Information Act 1982 as release would prejudice 
national security. 

Threat Insight: Afghan Evacuation: Violent Extremism Threat 
Implications for New Zealand 

Report Date: 1 September 2021 
Report No: 21-126-TI 
  This product provides an assessment of the potential impact of the evacuation of 
Afghan nationals on the domestic terrorism threat environment, specific to the 
assessed backgrounds of the evacuees, and domestic violent extremists’ reaction to 
the evacuation. It does not assess threats from foreign interference, espionage or 
  CTAG has low confidence in its assessments. This product was prepared in 
consultation with the New Zealand Security Intelligence Service (NZSIS) and New 
Zealand Defence Intelligence (NZDI). 
Key judgments 

  New Zealand’s evacuee stream is highly likely to include individuals from the Hazara, 
Tajik, and Pashtun ethnic groups. 
  We cannot discount the possibility that individuals within New Zealand’s evacuee 
stream have current or historical connections to violent extremist groups. 
  There is no indication that violent extremist groups of any ideology have the intent to 
deliberately penetrate New Zealand’s evacuee stream. 
  There is currently no change to the National Terrorism Threat Level, which remains at 
MEDIUM; terrorist attack is assessed as feasible and could wel  occur. 
  There is currently no indication of a specific, credible violent extremist threat to New 
Zealand or New Zealand interests abroad in relation to the evacuation programme. 
  There is a realistic possibility that historic Afghan sectarian or ethnic conflicts could 
manifest in the evacuee population and impact of New Zealand’s terrorism threat 
environment over the long-term.