From:
Media
To:
s 9(2)(a)
Subject:
Gore fire danger
Date:
Wednesday, 13 January 2021 11:34:00 am
Kia ora s 9(2)(a) ,
Thanks for your questions yesterday.
 
The following can be attributed to Drew Bingham, the lead scientist for the Our atmosphere
and climate 2020 report:
 
ACT 
·
THE 
         The sites discussed in OAC2020 were not ranked in order of rate of change in
days with very high or extreme fire danger.
·         The fire danger at the Gore site has remained low, though it is one of six sites
identified as having a very likely increasing trend. Of those six, further analysis
shows Gore had the lowest increase in the number of days per year with very
high or extreme fire danger. The data shows this increase was very likely
between 0 and 1.7 days per decade from 1997 to 2019.
·         Gore and Invercargill had three or less days per year on average with very high or
extreme fire danger between 1997-2019. In comparison, sites like Tara Hills, Lake
UNDER 
Tekapo, and Blenheim had an annual average of more than a month’s worth of days
with very high or extreme fire danger.
 
For further background:
·         Our atmosphere and climate 2020 (Figure 22 includes a map on the annual
average number of very high and extreme fire risk days, 1999–2019):
 https://www.mfe.govt.nz/publications/environmental-reporting/chapter-3-
changes-in-our-climate-and-environment-observed  
INFORMATION 
1982
 
 
Cheers,
Marcus
RELEASED 
OFFICIAL 

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