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•
He states that the UN (presumably meaning the IPCC) “abolished the
medieval warm period”. The IPCC does acknowledge in its reports that the
climate was warmer during that period in the area around Europe.
•
He also claims that the medieval warm period was a global warming of the
earth when in fact there is actually very little good evidence that it was indeed
a globally warm period comparable to today. Regionally, there may have
been places that did exhibit notable warmth but most of the various global
proxy reconstructions agree that it is warmer now and the temperature is
rising faster than at any time in the last 650 thousand years.
•
He criticises the use of the so called ‘hockey stick’ graph of global
temperature and refers to the US Senate investigation (known as the
“Wegman Report”) into the statistics used to construct the graph of global
temperature trends over the last 1000 years. There are serious limitations to
the Wegman Report and its findings do not, in fact, affect the confidence that
can be placed in the ‘hockey stick’ graph. Conclusions of the IPCC do not, in
any case, rely solely or even principally on such surface temperature
reconstructions. This is merely one of multiple lines of evidence supporting
the conclusion that the climate is warming in response to human activities,
and they are not the primary evidence.
•
The author claims that the sun could have caused just about all of the entire
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20th Century warming. A number of other factors are known to influence
climate and cause change, particularly volcanic eruptions, variations in the
energy from the sun and particles released into the atmosphere from both
natural sources and human activities. The IPCC found that the variations
over the 20th Century can only be understood by taking all factors, both
natural and human, into account. The IPCC concluded that the dominant
influences on climate change in the early part of the 20th Century were likely
to be a small increase in solar output and a decrease in average volcanic
activity. However, such natural factors cannot explain the warming in the
latter half of the 20th Century The report also pointed out that natural factors
on their own would have actually produced an overall drop in global average
temperatures.
The government accepts the scientific evidence on the risks of climate change and
we are committed to finding measures to reduce emissions and
INFORMATION to adapt to the
impacts. The government's climate change work programmes have three main
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• to develop long-term solutions to climate change issues;
• to take short-term measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions that are
consistent with long-term approaches as we transition to a way of life that
reduces our greenhouse gas emissions and secures a prosperous future; and
• to adapt to the impacts of climate change.
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We are now considering a wide range of policy responses to climate change,
including transport policies, methods to encourage renewable energy and energy
efficiency, mechanisms to ensure appropriate investment decisions are made on
large energy developments, and approaches for reducing emissions in the land
management sector. More information on the climate change policy work
programmes can be found at: http://www.climatechange.govt.nz
I appreciate your support for New Zealand’s emission reduction initiatives and as
such have attached a list of existing government initiatives with climate change
benefits, which may be of interest to you. You can also access this on-line at:
http:/ www.climatechange.govt.nz/policy-initiatives/government-initiatives.html
As you recognise in your letter, actions that we are taking also have many significant
co-benefits beyond adaptation to climate change. These include greater agricultural
and energy efficiency, reduced soil erosion, and greater resilience to flood and
storms.
I trust that you are reassured that we are acting on the best scientific advice available
and I thank you for your strong interest in this important area.
Yours sincerely
David Parker
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MINISTER RESPONSIBLE FOR CLIMATE CHANGE ISSUES
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Document 2
From:
S9(2)
To:
Warren Gray
Subject:
Re: CC hotspots vs. observations
Date:
Thursday, 10 April 2008 5:48:00 PM
A web link where you can get the pdf:
http://www.climatescience.gov/Library/sap/sap1-1/finalreport/default htm
Sam
>>> S9(2)(a)
10/04/2008 3:40 p.m. >>>
Hi Warren:
Sigh... this is somewhat related to Lindzen's (largely discredited) iris hypothesis. Not a lot of time right now, but see
attached paper from Roy Spencer et al, and the detection/attribution chapter from IPCC...
S9
(2)
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>>>
From: Warren Gray <[email address] nz>
To:"S9(2)(a)
>
CC:Vera Power <[email address]>
Date: 10/04/2008 3:04 p.m.
Subject: CC hotspots vs. observations
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Hi Gents
I have been asked to follow-up on the article below
http://www nbr.co nz/home/column article.asp?id=21153&cid=39&cname=NBR+Comment
And assess the issues!
It appears that the expected vertical signature of anthropogenic CC is not matched by the currently observed
structure
See also
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/images/stories/papers/monckton/whatgreenhouse/moncktongreenhousewarming.pdf
What do you guys think?
Rgds W
Dr Warren Gray
Senior Policy Adviser - Climate Change Science
Reporting and Communications Group
Ministry for the Environment
23 Kate Sheppard Place
P.O. Box 10362
Wellington
ph: 04 439 7731
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New Zealand is hosting World Environment
Day on 5 June 2008.
The Ministry for the Environment is proud
to be the lead agency coordinating
this international event.
MORE INFO: Call 0800 WED 2008 or
email [email address] nz
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Document 4
From:
Meredith Davis
To:
Rachel Ward
Subject:
oh noes!
Date:
Tuesday, 26 February 2013 4:10:24 PM
Attachments:
image001.png
Climate sceptic Lord Christopher
Monckton will be returning to NZ
for a nationwide tour in April. Described
as
“extremely entertaining”
in his publicity blurb, Monckton
believes a doubling of CO2 concentration
in the atmosphere will
be harmless. Recently the former
political advisor gained publicity
for gate crashing a climate change
conference where he posed as a
delegate from Myanmar to argue
there had been no global warming.
We urge readers of
NZ Energy
& Environment Business Alert to
Google Monckton and
Sasha Baron
Cohen for a real treat
Meredith Davis – Policy Analyst, International Climate and Environment
Ministry for the Environment – Manatu Mo Te Taiao
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s 9(2)(a)
Website: www.mfe.govt.nz
23 Kate Sheppard Place, PO Box 10362, Wellington 6143
P
Please consider the environment before printing th s email
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Document 5
Status Report
Minister for Climate Change Issues
Week beginning 1 April 2013
No Status Meeting
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Date
Seen by Hon Tim Groser
Minister for Climate Change Issues
Date
Seen by Hon Simon Bridges
Associate Minister for Climate Change Issues
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4.
Other issues that you should know about this week
4.1 Lord Christopher Monckton Speaking Tour: 1-26 April
Lord Monckton is a well-known climate change ‘skeptic’ who has often been quoted in
the media. He wil be in New Zealand on a speaking tour organised by the group Climate
Realists, from 1-26 April. There are more than 20 presentations scheduled, mostly at
small regional venues.
Last time he was here, in 2010, his presentations did not attract much attention.
However, on this trip there is a risk that media wil report his claims that climate change is
not occurring and that Government policies are misguided or even malicious. He is
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currently in Australia, where at a recent talk it was reported that he believed global
warming was “a scam to keep the focus away from Agenda 21; a United Nations action
plan which he says aims to depopulate the nation, impose a world government and usher
in the return of Communism.”
Several MPs have become aware of Lord Monckton’s visit and via your office, will
receive background information.
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Document 6
From:
Geoff Davies
To:
Matt Paterson; Dan Zwartz
Subject:
RE: CC Status Report item on Monckton
Date:
Wednesday, 3 April 2013 11:08:02 AM
Thanks Matt
From: Matt Paterson [mailto:[email address]]
Sent: Wednesday, 3 April 2013 11:01 a.m.
To: Dan Zwartz; Geoff Davies
Subject: RE: CC Status Report item on Monckton
Hi all,
No need for anything specifically from MfE. I just have a quick chat with each office when
it comes up.
Cheers
Matt
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Sent from my iPhone
-----Original Message-----
From: Dan Zwartz [[email address] nz]
Sent: Wednesday, April 03, 2013 10:54 AM New Zealand Standard Time
To: Matt Paterson; Geoff Davies
Subject: RE: CC Status Report item on Monckton
Thanks, Geoff.
Matt,
can you please let us know if the Minister’s office is expecting something from our team on this
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topic? So far there hasn’t been much coverage: a press release that wasn’t taken up by any of
the news med a, and a piece on the Herald website yesterday quoting a few NZ climate
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scientists saying that Monckton has no credibility and should be ignored.
Cheers,
Dan
From: Geoff Davies
Sent: Wednesday, 3 April 2013 9:56 a.m.
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To: Dan Zwartz
Cc: s 9(2)(a)
Subject: FW: CC Status Report item on Monckton
Dan, Matt Paterson added the reference to MPs approaching the Minister’s office at the Status
meeting last Wednesday. Suggest you ask him what’s required.
Rgds Geoff
Geoff Davies
Executive Relations
7574
From: Fiona Montgomery
Sent: Wednesday, 3 April 2013 9:34 a.m.
To: Geoff Davies
Subject: FW: CC Status Report item on Monckton
From: Dan Zwartz
Sent: Wednesday, 3 April 2013 9:16 a.m.
To: s 9(2)(a)
Cc: Matthew Smith
Subject: CC Status Report item on Monckton
Hi Fiona,
Last week we prepared an item for the CC Status Report , which was included as item 4.1 (page
4), “Lord Christopher Monckton Speaking Tour”. A sentence was added af er the last time Julie
and I saw the draft, “Several MPs have become aware of Lord Monckton’s visit and via your
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office, will receive background information.”
Do you know if we are being asked to provide background information on Lord Monckton’s tour
to the Minister’s office? Sonia W is away this week, so it’s harder to track the chain of
responsibility.
Thanks,
Dan
--
Dr Dan Zwartz
Senior Analyst, Climate Change Analysis
ph: 04 439 7542
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Ministry for the Environment – Manatū Mo Te Taiao
[email address]
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Document 7
From:
Nancy Golubiewski
To:
Team - LUCAS; Team - Climate Change Analysis; Team - Climate Strategy; Team - Climate Markets
Subject:
climate skeptic tour
Date:
Friday, 19 April 2013 9:28:30 AM
In case you’re interested AND you didn’t catch Monckton’s talk on Wednesday night or this
interview last night on Nights with Bryan Crump, the link is below. Interesting for any number of
reasons: not only for how to get a message across with a specific interpretation of data, but also
for how a media interview can go down. The ETS also features. There’s been other media
coverage of course, including interesting assessments on sciblogs, but this was particularly
interesting for the audible level of irritation…
http://www.radionz.co.nz/national/programmes/nights
Calm On Climate
Lord Christopher Monckton and his views on the state of the world's climate and
why he believes that the current political responses to the harm of a 'climate
changed by carbon dioxide due to human interactions' are in fact injurious to
society and a functioning economy. (25'55″)
Download: Ogg Vorbis MP3 | Embed
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Document 8
From:
Dan Zwartz
To:
Julie Knauf
Subject:
Briefing Note on Developments in Climate Change Science
Date:
Monday, 20 May 2013 11:26:10 AM
Hi Julie,
As discussed, notes on the scope of the upcoming briefing note, for passing to Sonia and Peter
for comment.
Dan
Scope of Briefing Note on Developments in Climate Change Science
Minister Groser’s office has requested a briefing note to be delivered in early June, providing an
update on climate change science and the implications for New Zealand.
The note will be prepared by the Climate Change Analysis team, with Dan Zwartz taking the lead.
It will likely be given to Gerald Rys (Science Policy Manager, MPI) for review, and also to MfE’s
Climate Strategy team.
Context
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·
The request is at least partly in response to the ecent speaking our of NZ by climate
‘skeptic’ Christopher Monckton, and a recent article in The Economist regarding estimates of
climate sensitivity.
·
The office of the Prime Minister’s Chief Science Advisor is also preparing a briefing on
climate change science, to be completed later this year The Minister’s office is aware of this,
but would like something sooner.
·
The last MfE briefing of a similar natu e was a 21 page summary of climate change science
in December 2011: SM BN Three Three~000001112953.docx
·
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 5th Assessment Report on
Climate
Change: The Physical Science Basis will be released in September 2013, and MfE officials
have reviewed the most recent draft of this.
Scope
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Based on initial discussion with the Private Secretary for Climate Change Issues, the briefing note
will only inclu e points of science, and will explicitly not address implications for the policy
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response. The Minister may use it as background information during the discussions around
setting an emissions target. We have been asked to make use of appropriate graphs and
diagrams. We expect the briefing note to cover:
·
Trends in global greenhouse gas emissions and atmospheric concentrations.
·
The record of global surface temperature, including the significance of the ‘hiatus’ of the last
~15 years (the fact, often cited by climate ‘skeptics’, that global surface temperature has
warmed very little since 1998, compared to the rapid warming in the previous decades).
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·
Recent developments in the understanding and reporting of climate sensitivity (how much
the world warms in response to changing greenhouse gases in the atmosphere)
·
Recent observations of sea level rise
·
Changes in the amount of Arctic sea ice
·
The possibility of abrupt climate change or ‘tipping points’
·
Any changes regarding the urgency of action on climate changes, in the light of the previous
two points.
·
Developments in the ability to assign likelihood to future climate scenarios.
·
A summary of the likely projected impacts for New Zealand.
1
Document 9
Man-Made Global Warming
M Davison. 17 May 2018
•
“The fact that an opinion is widely held is no evidence whatever that it is not utterly absurd;
indeed in view of the silliness of mankind a widespread belief is more likely to be foolish than
sensible.” -British philosopher Bertrand Russell
• In New Zealand terms it is akin to sheep following each other towards and over the cliff.
• Global Warming is “a struggle in which all standards of truth, morality and science have long
been sacrificed to the desired ends”- Antony Willie
• “Freedom is never more than a generation away from extinction. We did not pass it on to
our children in the bloodstream. It must be fought for, protected, and handed on for them
to do the same.“ Ronald Reagan
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• “The accumulation of all powers, legislative, executive, and judiciary, in the same hands,
whether of one, a few, or many and whether hereditary, self-appointed, or elective, may
justly be pronounced the very definition of tyranny.” James Madison constitutional
architect.
• “Socialism is a philosophy of failure, the greed of ignorance, and the gospel of envy. Its
inherent virtue is the equal sharing of misery.” Winston Churchill.
See UN IPCC new rules - paragraph 3, page 13.
This paper is not about pollution which is a different issue. Very few people do not support
cleaning up pollution. We don’t need fly ash, oxides of nitrogen and sulphur or smog forming
volatile hydrocarbons. But CO2 is not a pollutant, and there is no reason to control it.
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For half a century now, conservatives have been mainly losing the political and cultural wars with
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the left because they do not understand what their adversaries are up to.
Global Warming is but a part of this horrendous program to destroy democracy and freedom and
run the world with unelected socialist bureaucrats, unbelievable corruption and deceit. Most
people have no idea what is going on and leave it to mainstream media to tell them.
Unfortunately mainstream media is in the other camp. It is time for many more of us to take the
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trouble to find out what is really going on. Then decide what to do about it. Letting the system roll
on would not be a happy outcome. Whenever nations have gone down the path being prescribed it
has led to disaster.
2
Contents
Page
1. Purpose
2
2. Facts – how much the globe has really ‘warmed’ in the last 25 years
3
3. Carbon dioxide – a naturally occurring gas
4
4. Climate change science – the inconvenient truth for IPCC
7
5. What’s really going on with climate events
11
6. The real agenda – redistributing the world’s wealth
13
7. Some historical observations in relation to popular opinions
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8. Consequences for New Zealand
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9. Conclusions
17
10. References
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11. Appendices
20
1. The purpose of this paper INFORMATION
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The globe is not warming any more than it has for centuries and contrary to widespread belief.
Furthermore, increased carbon dioxide (CO2) emitted from mankind’s activities is not contributing
to, or causing calamitous climatic events. Man-made, or ‘Anthropogenic’ global warming (AGW) is
simply not occurring. Furthermore it is not agreed that the increasing CO2 in the atmosphere is
mainly from human activities anyway. Human activities only contribute ~3% of the CO2 going into
the atmosphere.
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Global warming is a scam and a hoax. It is being used to generate fear and panic. Those behind the
movement use it to control people's beliefs and for financial gain.
An uninformed and unquestioning mass of the world’s population has fallen victim to significant
propaganda, causing widespread misconception. Global warming and climatic change campaigners,
largely the United Nations’ Independent Panel for Climate Change (IPCC), have mounted one of the
3
most well funded, massive propaganda campaigns in history – and with a very compliant media on
their side.
However, in informed countries, there is a ground swell of global warming refute and surging
numbers of climate realists. In the USA, the lies of Al Gore, who netted hundreds of millions of
dollars advocating global warming, have been revealed, and the Gallup Poll, a widely recognised
barometer of American opinion, shows environmental concerns about global warming are now
much lower than they were 25 years ago. Furthermore, currently, over 65% of the American public
do not trust the media to report accurately. The warming skeptics (realists) are slowly and finally
starting to make progress with large sectors of the world finally getting to grips with the reality of
what has been going on. Britain’s new government abolished its Dept of Energy and Climate Change
on 14 July 2016. India will not sign the Paris Accord. China will do what she wants to, which wil be
nothing except in the meantime, or for as long as China likes, they will build 100 s of new coal fired
electric generating plants. Trump, his new Vice President nominee, and most of the republican party
are climate skeptics. Trump says they will stop paying IPCC etc. (Estimated to be $24b / yr) and pull
out of the Paris accord.
This paper collates information to show how the current levels of local widespread belief in
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manmade global warming have come about, and provides clear evidence that the existing political
agendas in New Zealand and elsewhere should cease. This paper i not anti cleaning up pollution
which is another issue.
2. Facts – how much the globe has really ‘warmed’ in the last 25 years
Global warming is not happening to any greater extent than it has for hundreds of years and has not
occurred at all in the last 18 years prior to the recent el nino effect. This el nino effect, which has
passed now, is correcting to a cooling situation
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Remote Sensing Systems (RSS) is a world leader in processing and analysing microwave data
collected by satellite microwave sensors. The RSS mission is to provide research-quality geophysical
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data, including temperature data, to the global scientific community.
The RSS graph below dated November 2014 charts global mean temperature change. It clearly
shows the consistency of those 18+ years. - 18 years of no global warming. 20 Years ago it was
predicted that by now the world would be irrevocably warming up by 5-10 degrees and the sea
levels would be a meter or more above what they are now. So much for the, effectively useless,
computer models.
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4
3. Carbon dioxide
Physics and Chemistry don’t change they were the same billions of years ago. It just takes Homo
sapiens a while to work it out.
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CO2 is a colorless, odorless, naturally occurring gas. It is the basis of most forms of life on the planet
as it is necessary for photosynthesis, which creates plants which in turn nourish animals. It is
currently naturally in the earth’s atmosphere as 0.04 % of ‘air’ – 400 parts per million (ppm). CO2 has
increased from 350ppm to 400ppm over the last ~50 years, but this is inconsequential given it has
been as high as 7000ppm of the earth’s air in the past with similar temperatures as today.
Importantly, CO2 is produced by the decomposition of plant matter, and released from the oceans
and other natural processes including volcanoes A minor amount is produced by man – man-made
CO2 emissions are about ~3% of all sources of CO2 going into the atmosphere (please see Appendix
B).
So 97% of all CO2 is naturally produced and if we were to halve CO2 emissions at crippling costs
it would only reduce CO2 by 1.5% INFORMATION
Historically and for millions of years CO2 levels have been over 3000ppm on this planet and
sometimes around 7000ppm Ice ages occurred during these times, as did normal temperatures.
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The much higher levels of CO2 had no correlation to the planet’s temperature – life kept evolving
normally. According to IPCC, the more recent increase in CO2 in the atmosphere (of just ~50ppm)
will dramatical y warm the planet with catastrophic climatic implications. The IPCC claims that most
of the warming is caused by increases in C02 from burning of fossil fuels. Therefore, CO2 emissions
must be reduced – and at huge cost. This is flawed thinking.
Increasing CO2 by just 50ppm, or even doubling it, would not make any significant difference to
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anything on this planet, other than making plants grow faster. Dr Patrick Moore, Cofounder of
Greenpeace, who is now a global warming realist says (2013) “
the optimal level of CO2 for plant
growth is 1600 ppm, four times higher than the level today.” 400ppm is a starvation diet for plants
and they die under 150ppm. Moore (2014) also says
“This is why greenhouse growers purposely
inject the CO2-rich exhaust from their gas and wood-fired heaters into the greenhouse, resulting in a
40-80 per cent increase in growth. The idea that it would be catastrophic if CO2 were to increase… is
preposterous.”
5
Prominent physicist Freeman Dyson (Dyson 2015) a world renowned Physicist ex Princetown : ‘It
would be crazy to try to reduce CO2′ – ‘Earth is growing greener as a result of carbon dioxide’ - ‘I
like carbon dioxide, it’s very good for plants. It's good for the vegetation, the farms, essentially
carbon dioxide is vital for food production, vital for wildlife.’ (10% more global greening shown on
2017 satellite pictures over the last 20 years)
Ian Plimmer an Australian Geologist and professor emeritus at the University of Melbourne, (See
Plimmer,) states –
• “The volcanic eruption in Iceland in just 4 days negated every single effort you have made in
the last five years to control CO2 emissions on our planet – all of you.
• There are about 200 active volcanoes on the planet spewing out this Crud at any one time
EVERY DAY
• Mt Pinatubo in 1991 spewed out more greenhouse gases into the atmosphere than the
entire human race has emitted in all its years on earth.
• The bush fire season across western USA and Australia alone will negate human’s efforts to
reduce carbon in our world for the next 2-3 years. And it happens every year
• We don’t hear about “Global Warming” (It is now “Climate Change”) ACT 1982
• Emission Trading Schemes achieve absolutely nothing except make you poorer and they
wont stop volcanoes erupting, that’s for sure.”
Historical graphs of CO2 : Temperature (Berner & Kothavala, 2001) show:
INITIAL CO2
TEMPERATURE
DATE
LEVEL
CHANGE IN CO2 LEVEL
CHANGE
480m years
-3000 ppm – to 4000
ago
7000 ppm
ppm
No change at 22 deg C
450m years
+500 ppm – to 4500
ago
4000 ppm
ppm
22 deg C to 12 deg C
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It is not conclusive that increased CO2 in the atmosphere is caused by man – it is many times more
likely to be caused by other natural factors.
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Atmospheric scientist Murray Salby (2011) says of increasing atmospheric CO2 that “
It is ten times as
likely that atmospheric CO2 is coming from natural sources, namely the warming ocean surface, as it
is likely that it is coming from anthropogenic (man-made) sources. The changes in CO2 track ocean
surface temperature, not global carbon emissions. Burning fossil fuels is not increasing atmospheric
CO2. Recovery from the Little Ice Age, driven by the sun, is causing the oceans to release CO2. It is
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temperature driving CO2 release, not the other way around. Just as it has always been.” Salby has
since been dismissed from Sydney University, for making these statements! The statements are
accurate.
There is no direct link between man-made fossil fuel emissions and global temperature on two
counts. Firstly, it is not agreed that increased CO2 is a consequence of man-made fossil fuel
emissions and secondly, there is not agreement that CO2 warms the globe to any significant amount
anyway.
6
Australia introduced a carbon tax to reduce CO2 emissions, which was repealed by the Abbott
government. This effort to reduce carbon emissions saw Australians pay a whopping $24.47 billion
to reduce global warming (theoretically) – by just 0.004% (Robson, 2013). The justification for the
Carbon Tax was to reduce carbon emissions to stop global warming. Even if the world was warming
up, the effects of the Carbon Tax were virtually nil. The New Zealand Emission Trading Scheme
should be disbanded or the country will waste money similarly. It is likely the new NZ government
will spend over $10 billion on climate change in NZ over the next 3 years. The returns on which will
be zero.
Reducing CO2 emissions requires huge cost. Currently the amount of money being spent globally,
supposedly to reduce ‘man’s carbon footprint’, is in the trillions of dollars per year (Bell, 2015). Yet
ridiculously, it has not been scientifically proven that increased CO2 in the atmosphere will cause
either significant global warming or climatic disasters.
US Climatologist Dr Judith Curry, Professor and former Chair of the School of Earth and Atmospheric
Sciences at the Georgia Institute of technology, (2015) says
“even if the USA is successful in meeting
80% reductions of CO2 emissions by 2050 this is going to reduce warming by one tenth of a degree
centigrade. It is not going to do anything.” Curry (2015) in her address to congress, states
“I am
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concerned that the proposed USA Intended Nationally Determined Contribution to the UN
Framework Convention on Climate Change, to address the perceived problems of climate change will
do essentially nothing to change the climate, and the USA and other nations will remain vulnerable
to climate surprises and extreme weather events.”
Because of President Trump’s position on these matters, we now finally in April 2017 have a
PROPERLY peer reviewed paper showing the relat onship between CO2 and climate. But it is the
other way round to the warmists view. It shows there is no significant relationship between global
warming /climatic events and CO2. A properly peer reviewed paper showing the warmist way
round does not exist because it does not happen.
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Official Press Release on Second Edition
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On the Existence of a “Tropi al Hot Spot” & The Validity of EPA’s CO2 Endangerment Finding James P. Wallace III, John R. Christy, and Joseph S. d’Aleo
Abridged Research Report
Second Edition, April 2017
“A just released peer reviewed climate science Research Report has proven that it is all but certain
that EPA’s basic claim that CO2 is a pollutant is totally false. All research was done pro bono.
This research failed to find that the st
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statistically significant impact on any of the 14 temperature data sets that were analyzed. The
tropospheric and surface temperature data measurements that were analyzed were taken by many
different entities using balloons, satellites, buoys and various land based techniques. Needless to
say, if regardless of data source, the analysis results are the same, the analysis findings should be
considered highly credible.
The analysis results invalidate EPA’s CO2 Endangerment Finding, including the climate models that
EPA has claimed can be relied upon for policy analysis purposes. Moreover, these research results
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clearly demonstrate that once the solar, volcanic and oceanic activity, that is, natural factor, impacts
on temperature data are accounted for, there is no “record setting” warming to be concerned about.
In fact, there is no Natural Factor Adjusted Warming at all. The authors of this report claim that
there is no published, peer reviewed, statistically valid proof that past increases in atmospheric
CO2concentrations have caused the officially reported rising, even claimed record setting
temperatures. And, EPA’s climate models fail to meet this test.”
In summary, enormous sums of money have been used to reduce a gas which is 97% produced
naturally by the planet itself, to supposedly reduce global warming and related climatic disasters.
Mankind’s effort to control a non-problem with a non-solution is ridiculously nonsensical. A lack of
questioning and understanding of the real science is widespread.
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4. Climate change science – the inconvenient truth for IPCC
The IPCC is the primary proponent of dramatic global warming yet its argument is fundamentally
flawed because of the way it selectively uses science and manipulates data to support its views. The
particularly concerning areas include:
-
the lack of consideration of views opposing its own (true science considers opposing views)
-
the nature of IPCC’s existence is a conflict of interest
-
manipulation of data
-
political funding biases
There is no question about climate change. It changes all the time and has done so naturally for
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centuries. This is not however, reflected in the IPCC’s selective use of ‘science’. It’s manipulation of
research data and opinion has fueled an extremely biased view that does not reflect the planet’s
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actual climate.
True science is empirical and replicated – it constantly probes, doubts, investigates, examines, and
welcomes dissent. Yet the IPCC did not invite one single person who did not agree with its pre-
decided outcome for major reports to review or comment on them. IPCC has published five reports
since 1990, the latest being No 5 in 2013. For this No 5 report, it was claimed that a 97% consensus –
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that global warming is both occurring and man-made – exists, in spite of overwhelming evidence of
nil, or nominal warming. Of 11,944 papers considered, only 41 of them actually claim global warming
is caused by man-made CO2 (that’s an alarming or 0.3 of 1%). Those that disproved global warming
were dismissed. Lord Christopher Monckton (2013) of the UK’s Science and Public Policy Institute
has released an exhaustive statistical research paper that concludes that scientific consensus
affirming man-made global warming is just 0.3%, not the 97% claimed by the global warming
whiners.
8
Dr. Arthur Robinson, Robinson Arthur 2014, is a distinguished chemist and cofounder/president of
the Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine (OISM), was honored in Las Vegas at the Ninth
International Conference on Climate Change (ICCC9) with the Voice of Reason Award presented by
The Heartland Institute. In 1998, Dr. Arthur Robinson was one of the principal organizers of
the Petition Project, an effort to demonstrate that the claimed “consensus” of science in favor of the
belief that humans are causing catastrophic global warming does not exist. The petition reads, in
part:
1. The proposed limits on greenhouse gases would harm the environment, hinder the advance of
science and technology, and damage the health and welfare of mankind.
2.There is no convincing scientific evidence that human release of carbon dioxide, methane, or other
greenhouse gasses is causing or will, in the foreseeable future, cause catastrophic heating o the
Earth's atmosphere and disruption of the Earth's climate.
In two campaigns (1998-1999 and 2007) the Petition Project gathered signatures from more than
31,000 scientists, physicians, and engineers (including 9,029 with Ph.D s) who reject global warming
alarmism and the draconian measures claimed to be necessary for the entire planet
The IPCC is a conflicted institution pushing a mandate that lacks true scientific rigor. Moore (2013)
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says;
“by its constitution, the IPCC has a hopeless conflict of interest. Its mandate is to consider
only the human causes of global warming, not the many natural causes changing the climate for
billions of years. If the IPCC did not find humans were the cause of warming, there would be no
need for the IPCC under its present mandate. To survive, it must find on the side of the apocalypse.
The IPCC should either have its mandate expanded to include all causes of climate change, or it
should be dismantled.”
For about 30 years, the IPCC’s climate predictions have been hopelessly inaccurate. In addition to
not welcoming nor considering dissenting opinions, there has been an increasing and continuous
legacy that data has been manipulated.
There are countless examples of data manipulation (please see Appendix C). The levels of deception
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stretch across all the data involved. In any developed country, to seek public funding by tampering
with data would see the culprits jailed. As a comparison, consider an IPO prospectus seeking billions
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of dollars from the public w thout verifiable scientific information in it – let alone manipulated data.
As just one example, suspicious data records from Paraguay were found to have been changed from
a downward temperature trend to an upward one (from a decline of 1 deg C to an increase of 1.5
deg C). Not only for three initial weather stations investigated but subsequently for a number of
other weather stations in the area. Worse still they then used these upward temperature records to
apply to tracks of the globe where no records have been kept.
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In relation to this, Christopher Booker Snr., (English journalist and author.) In 1961, he was one of
the founders of the magazine Private Eye, and has contributed to it since then. He has been a
columnist for The Sunday Telegraph since 1990.) (2015) states:
“
When future generations look back on the global-warming scare of the past 30 years, nothing will
shock them more than the extent to which the official temperature records – on which the entire
panic ultimately rested – were systematically ‘adjusted’ to show the earth as having warmed much
more than the actual data justified. Two weeks ago, under the headline ‘How we are being tricked by
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flawed data on global warming’, I wrote about Paul Homewood, who, on his
Notalotofpeopleknowthat blog, had checked the published temperature graphs for three weather
stations in Paraguay against the temperatures that had originally been recorded. In each instance,
the actual trend of 60 years of data had been dramatically reversed, so that a cooling trend was
changed to one that showed a marked warming.”
Watts Up With That. - Watts et al researched weather station data in the USA “An updated
evaluation of US Historical Climate Network as it relates to station biases.” Supplement to Watts et
al 2012. They assessed 779 US weather stations on appropriate siting criteria and found that rural
non airport stations with compliant siting situations and Maximum Minimum Temperature System
had a decadal warming of .032 Deg C where noncompliant and adjusted stations had a decadal
warming of .300 Deg C. All adjustments were upwards by NOAA. (Well sited stations adjusted
upwards to match poor sited stations which were also adjusted upwards. ) Poor sited stations were
near airports, urban or semi urban based, where aircraft, housing and roads warm up the air. On
which basis the warming is actually about 1/10th of final adjusted figures.
A search of Climate Depot “Weather Stations” brings up 11 similar examples.
The incidence of data manipulation is so rife that USA Republicans are now claiming they will
investigate (climate related) data tampering by NASA.
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Needless to say, numerous reputable commentators thwart the accuracy and relevance of the
‘science’ claimed by IPCC:
• IPCC reviewer, Dr Don Easterbrook, (Easterbrook D) on IPCC report No 5 says (2013)
“it isn’t
science at all – it’s dogmatic, political propaganda – the IPCC report must be considered the
grossest misrepresentation of data ever published”
• Exposing IPCC computer models, forecast ng experts Green and Armstrong (2014) state
“our
audit of the procedure used to create IPCC scenarios found that they violated 72 of 89
relevant forecasting principles”
•
“Premeditated murder of science” is how Climatologist Dr Tim Ball (Ball T, 2013) describes
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the IPCC’s 95% certainty that CO2 is causing serious global warming and climatic disasters
• Climate Depot’s Mark Morano (2010) states 1000 of the so-called convinced
RELEASED UNDER THE man-made
global warming scientists were in fact then skeptics – and that was five years ago!
• Curry (2014) says;
“as temperatures have declined, the climate models have failed to predict this
decline, and so the IPCC has gained confidence in (its predictions of) catastrophic warming. In
other words the more they are wrong about nearly everything, the more confident IPCC officials
have become that they are right about nearly everything”
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However those that dissent or disprove global warming find it difficult to have their view aired.
Subsequently, even despite the significant lack of IPCC integrity, a large proportion of people and
media continue to believe dramatic global warming is occurring. Many media editors are reluctant to
publish skeptical views. The IPCC like to make it heresy to question their message – they ‘shoot the
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messengers’ and are embarking on a program to personally discredit, and if possible have funding
cut off for, any scientist disagreeing with their fabricated consensus and more recently they had
asked Obama to prosecute and jail “deniers”. These are desperate measures.
It is important to note the IPCC gets hundreds of times more funding from weak misguided
government sources, than any climate realists. The direct costs excluding subsidies for alternative
energy projects to the US government is calculated to be spending $22 billion USD per annum
($42,800 a minute), for scientists to do endless research on man-made global warming. Natural
causes of global warming, far more significant than man-made effects on global temperature
changes as previously noted, are not included. According to Forbes columnist Larry Bell (2015) the
ripple effect of global warming initiatives actually costs Americans $1.75 trillion every year – three
times larger than the entire USA federal budget deficit
.
There is a tangled web of political activity and bias at play distorting the real truth. Paul Driessen
(2010), a senior policy advisor with the Committee for ‘A Constructive Tomorrow’ says:
“The climate
change scientist – government – environmental – industrial climate complex is well funded and
powerful. But it is also arrogant and dishonest and its assertions are so far removed from reality that
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they can no longer survive scrutiny and challenge. The time has come to end its attempt to control
our lives, livelihoods, liberties, living standards and life spans.”
Local politicians are unable to provide true scientif c verification that CO2 can cause drastic global
warming or severe climatic problems – because it is impossible for them to do so. They will refer to
‘consensus science,’ which as discussed above, is not at all credible. The political agenda is based on
fabricated information that does not stand scrutiny
It is unbelievable that politicians do not
demand unquestionable scientific evidence before imposing huge crippling taxes that do nothing
but provide jobs for bureaucrats and make us poorer. Real consideration of the above points
effectively shoots the IPCC to pieces.
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5. What’s really going on with climatic events
There is currently no global warming, and calamitous climatic events are not increasing and are
often doing the opposite of predictions. Recent fires on the USA are not abnormal in the long term
statistics and likewise hurricane activity to date this year puts 2017 as number 5 in the long term
statistics.
A summary of what’s really going on with climatic events around the world:
Ice – The IPCC claim Antarctica’s ice is melting, when in fact there is record ice in Antarctica.
Antarctica sea ice recently hit a 35-year record high (National Snow and Ice Data Centre) and in
January 2015 is 44.6% more than the 1981-2010 average. Ice in the Arctic has also been increasing in
recent years (Swart et al 2015). Currently Artic ice is reported to be up 22% on 2012 levels
Snow – Recently a world record 24hr snowfall of 100.8 inches in 18 hours occurred in Italy
(www.weather.com; “Italy winter storm dumps impressive 24 hr snowfall”). The previous record was
75.8 inches in 24 hours. The USA has had hundreds of record low temperatures in the last few years
(USA Today -
‘Coldest Air In Decades’, 2015).
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Climate Depot’s Mark Morano states (2013);
“Extreme weather is failing to follow ‘global warming’
predictions: Hurricanes, Tornadoes, Droughts, Floods Wildfires, all see no trend or declining trends in
the USA. Extreme weather is at or near historic lows.”
Hurricanes – In the USA, apart from recently, there were 3,264 Days without a Major (Cat 3 +)
Hurricane Strike – ‘Nearly 9 years… The last being Wilma in October, 2005′ Recent Hurricanes in the
USA still do not match 1933 in overall energy.
Tornadoes – The USA tornado count has plummeted to record low levels for three consecutive
years.
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Droughts – New research confirms human CO2 is not causing a global drought increase - ‘Droughts
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in the USA are more frequent and more intense during COLDER periods’ (Legates, 2014).
Floods – Professor Roger Pielke’s paper titled ‘Are US Floods Increasing? The Answer is Still No’
(2011) shows flooding has not increased in the USA over records of 85 to 127 years (Hirsch & Ryberg,
2012). The world’s ten deadliest floods all occurred before 1976. i.e. before the so called high man-
made CO2 in the atmosphere (Hirsch & Ryberg, 2012).
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USA Heat waves – The frequency of 90 deg (Fahrenheit) days in the USA has plummeted with three
of the five mildest summers occurring since 2004 – USA temperatures (before tampering) have been
declining for 90 years
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Wildfires – 2014 was the quietest fire season of the decade according to data from the National
Interagency Fire Centre and USA forest fires are nearing historic lows. Californian wild fires of Oct
2017 are not historically unusual and 1933 remains the worst year for many years.
Sea levels – Sea levels have not risen any faster than normal since levels have been recorded and
actual sea levels are doing the opposite of IPCC model predictions. Globally, scientists with solid
empirical-based backgrounds claim there are severe problems with many of the 2007 IPCC
predictions. Namely, that many of the predictions are ‘flat-out false, based on the IPCC's political
agenda, or wildly inflated by failed climate models’. Houston and Dean (2011) state that the IPCC
prediction of dangerously high acceleration of sea level increases is likely both a combination of
invalid climate models and desired political outcomes. They discovered that the actual tidal gauge
measurements over the last 80 years show sea level increases are decelerating, not accelerating and
currently we can expect 100 - 200mm sea level rise over the next century. IPCC predictions have at
times been in the meters.
Temperature – As demonstrated earlier, satellite data confirms that, apart from recent el nino
effects, we have had ~20 years no warming. Post el nino seems to be putting the world into coolong
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mode. It is harder to tamper with satellite data and it should be used to measure global warming.
For New Zealand a recent review of our temperature records reveals what many have thought for
years in that NIWI have been playing with the numbers Weather data station information has been
adjusted and in some cases there is no record of what adjustments were made and seriously
compromised data from two stations were not adjusted for Urban Heat effects. (being sited in the
CBD of our largest cities.) See “A Reanalysis of Long Term Surface Air Temperature Trends in New
Zealand” 2014 C.R. de Freitas et al. The reality of the paper is that if we take out the two
compromised stations and asses rural only stations we get .2 degrees warming per century instead
of figures of .91 degrees warming per century which NIWA claim. Or 1.0 degrees in the news media
of 20 Oct 2017.
Furthermore Tasman Crop Met Report (Winepress Issue No 258 May 2016) reports on page 6 for
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Blenheim NZ. (- How could this be? We are supposed to have had the hottest year ever.)
Season
Long
15/16
14/15
13/14
12/13
11/12
34/35
74/75
89/90
80/81
97/98
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Term
Av
Mean
14.99
15.49
15.55
15.59
15.34
14.62
16.28
16.16
16.11
16.00
15.99
Temp
Rank 1930-
19th
14th
12th
25th
60th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
2015
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It is probably fair to say that the extent of global warming is only the long term warming in the
vicinity of 0.2 - 0.5 degrees C per century that has been happening for thousands of years. With all
these examples in mind, it cannot be claimed that disastrous climatic events are caused by increased
CO2 levels in the atmosphere and global warming. Overall there has been no warming recently and
there are no facts to support the concept of dramatic global warming or increased climatic disasters.
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6. The Real Agenda – Redistributing the world’s wealth
The real agenda has been admitted by senior IPCC officials and it has nothing to do with climate. The
UN wants to increase its power and wealth to have increasing control over people’s lives. It is
preplanned UN run socialism that is the end game. The climate issues are to frighten the populations
of the world into committing huge funding to the UN. However, as this paper shows, CO2 causing
run away global warming and climatic disasters is discredited and now the USA which was supposed
to pay most of the money is not going to do so. The cards are finally starting to fall over.
It has, for decades, been the preplanned dramatic expansion of bureaucracy and totalitarianism
enabling unelected officials in the UN, the EU, and in any independent state that can be conned into
the scam, to control almost every aspect of people’s lives. They don’t like capitalism, they want a
new world order and they say so.
IPCC, Working Group III, Co Chair, Ottmar Eden has admitted that international climate policy is not
even about environmental protection, it is about
“how we redistribute the world’s wealth” (2010).
Decades in the making, the IPCC is very close to succeeding in an rrevocable way. They want to
destroy capitalism. The plan was to bolt it all together at the IPCC conference in Paris in December
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2015 and have a new world order of the world committed to a crazy debilitating tax scheme that
would be irrevocably agreed to, with UN beaurocrats ruling our lives w th countless PC regulations.
World wars have been caused by much lesser issues
CFACT reports from the big UN climate summit in Paris. President Obama and the UN were trying to
declare what took place there as a big win. It wasn't Not even close. In Paris CFACT successfully
exposed key elements of the horrendous climate agreement the radicals tried, but failed, to foist
upon the world. The CFACT team helped deliver their opponents a number of major setbacks
including:
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•
International T ibunal of Climate Justice. Gone.
•
Binding emissions reductions? Gone.
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•
Zero emissions? Out.
•
Economy-crippling 1.5 degree C temperature mandate? Gone.
•
Legally obligating nations to shell out $100 billion per year to the Green Climate Fund?
Gone.
•
Paying developing countries for weather-related “loss and damage? Gone (at least for now).
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The IPCC had to say it was a successful meeting regardless of the outcome. In fact, it all means very
little but they will continue to pursue their agenda regardless. In the end when the world does not
warm up and climatic disasters continue at a reduced, or normal levels, the scam only becomes
more obvious, but at what cost in the meantime! Apart from financial cost it will be dramatic loss of
freedom and democratic process. The bureaucrats involved are not elected and, before Brexit, 60%
14
of the laws enacted in the UK were made up by unelected bureaucrats in the EU. The UN wants to
rule the world similarly and to a worse extent.
The man-made global warming project has been instigated into schools and universities and there
are even entire courses available on the subject. (That don’t consider that the world is not actually
warming any more than it has for centuries.) Children and students are being taught that man-made
global warming science is settled and not to be questioned or even discussed (Tice, 2015). The
AGENDA 21, which stands for UN Agenda for the 21st Century, is being forced onto schools. It has
been banned by some states in the USA but is being pushed very aggressively by the IPCC. It follows
that those who question the matters get marked down in examinations and fail their exams.
University students then vote for more of the same and it is self-perpetuating – and the taxpayer
keeps paying trillions of dollars per year to have more and more well-paid unelected bureaucrats
running people’s lives. It is also in our legislation, judiciary, universities, local government, not to
mention national government, most peoples’ thinking, it is everywhere and those that don’t agree,
apparently, should be in jail.
President Obama planned to bypass the USA Congress and th Senate by call ng commitments to the
Paris IPCC conference in December 2015 not treaty obligations but ‘regulations’. This is effectively
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ignoring their constitution and is because Congress and the Senate are not in agreement. For the
first time the extreme green left had a US President backing them They were determined to make
the most of it by foul means or anyhow. The longer it takes the world to work it out, the more
devastating will be the carnage that results in the interim (As has always been the result of socialism
/ totalitarianism)
What is going on is not anything much to do with climate. Simply put it is the manipulation of scare
tactics to enable the old world idea of socialism /communism to be imposed through the UN.
Communism failed in Russia and many other countries in the world. It does not work. Look at Cuba.
1. You cannot legislate the poor into prosperity by legislating the wealthy out of prosperity.
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2. What one person receives without working for, another person must work for without receiving.
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3. The government cannot give to anybody anything that the government does not first take from
somebody else.
4. You cannot multiply wealth by dividing it!
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5. When half of the people get the idea that they do not have to work because the other half is going to
take care of them, and when the other half gets the idea that it does no good to work because
somebody else is going to get what they work for, that is the beginning of the end of any nation.
15
7. Some historical observations of popular opinions
Just because a view may be widely held is no reason it is correct. Mainstream consensus is in fact,
most often incorrect. British philosopher Bertrand Russell OM said
“the fact that an opinion is widely
held is no evidence whatever that it is not utterly absurd; indeed in view of the silliness of mankind a
widespread belief is more likely to be foolish than sensible.” It is akin to sheep following each other.
The manipulation of public opinion has been occurring, at the will of dictators and politicians, for
centuries. In the history of mankind, mainstream consensus has been sought and established with
drastic results. In World War Two, German politician and Reich Minister of Propaganda in Nazi
Germany Paul Goebbels successfully convinced a significant proportion of the world’s population
Hitler was a great man. (It was World War II and Germany had many allies who looked to Hitler as a
great leader. Not to mention the German population)
As discussed in section 4 of this paper, this type of ‘consensual’ thinking has formed the bulk of the
case for man-made global warming by IPCC. A so-called ‘consensus’ of scien ists supposedly agree
with the IPCC. However, science is not a matter of votes – it is a matter of fact ACT 1982
John Michael Crichton, an author admired for his meticulous scientific research, said (2003)
“I regard
consensus science as an extremely pernicious development that ought to be stopped dead in its
tracks. Historically the claim has been the first refuge of scoundrels. It is a way to avoid debate by
claiming that the matter is already settled. Whenever you hear the consensus of scientists agree on
something or other, reach for your wallet because you are about to be had. There is no such thing as
consensus science. If it's consensus, it isn't science. If it's science, it isn't consensus. Period.”
Fueling ‘consensus thinking’, are plenty of enthusiastic activists in the world, who demonstrate
and/or sign petitions about environmental ‘concerns’ without any profound knowledge of what they
are demonstrating about. USA TV program, Penn & Teller (2006), at a climate change meeting,
sought to ban ‘di-hydrogen monoxide’ because
“it is in our lakes and reservoirs, used by pesticide
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companies, we wash f uit with it and it gets into our food supplies. It causes excessive sweating and
excessive urination.” Hundreds of people signed the petition ‘to help save the planet’ from this nasty
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chemical without recognizing di-hydrogen monoxide (H2O) is water!
These examples substantiate and explain how multitudes have flocked after IPCC dogma without
genuine consideration of the underlying truth.
As quoted by President Trump, the Paris Accord on CO2 and global warming, requires about
$100,000,000,000,000, (100 Trillion ) to be paid in to the UN etc. by the end of this century to
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prevent the world warming up by 0.2 degrees C. The USA, with about 5% of the world’s population,
and 25% of world GDP was in line to provide most of this.
16
Consequences for NZ
Think how much better NZ standards of living would be compared to all those nations that pay
trillions of dollars to the man-made global warming cause for nothing – if NZ politicians would just
spend enough time to sensibly consider the true climate science. John Key and Paula Bennett had
not been able to provide me with any independently peer reviewed scientific paper showing that
CO2 will significantly increase global temperature or climatic disturbances. THEY COULD NOT
BECAUSE IT IS NOT SO. Instead man-made global warming legislation is going into our laws, local
governments have been buying carbon credits, all Kiwis pay extra taxes on fuel, the Emission Trading
Scheme will further hamper the country, planning decisions are being based on IPCC projections, it
was recently reported that Marlborough Marine Farmers will pay $42m to renew licenses, every 10
years. The NZ advisor to Government on these matters is NIWA. Their basic views on man-made
global warming stem from a thesis being written by a now sacked senior NIWA official. The thesis
has not been available for public scrutiny and has been supposedly “lost” –not a good starting place
to set up taxing the population under an Emission Trading Scheme. Alarmingly, NIWA has followed
the flawed IPCC dogma and also refused to adjust flawed temperature data. (Which if taken into
account indicated a 0.2degree increase in NZ temperatures over 100 years – Not 1.0 degree as
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claimed by Niwa)
New Zealanders cannot afford to pour money into this scam just because other nations are. The real
science and the real agenda must be considered. There is no doubt as to the real agenda – it is even
admitted by some of the leaders of the man-made global warming movement. If IPCC had had their
way in Paris, the world would have been irrevocably launched into their scam. Defense budgets
would need to be paid to the UN so he UN could run a world-armed force. Socialism would be
pushed to new levels. Our schools and niversities would be even more indoctrinated. That is the
new world order so desperately sought. It a l will have nothing to do with climate change – as it
never did.
NZ would be ruled by unelected bureaucrats who will do nothing to create wealth. All aspects of
Kiwis’ lives would be meddled with –permits required for everything, confiscating taxes,
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discretionary pending money not allowed for, limited private asset ownership – and maximum state
ownership of assets, and in effect one might as well live in Cuba – if you had the mo
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Over the last 50-60 years, NZ has fallen from the top 2-3 countries in the world in GDP per capita to
number 21 and the NZ$ has devalued by some 300% against the $US. It is totally ridiculous for this
country, or any country, to be pouring huge sums of money into the non-solution to a non-problem
that reducing carbon emissions is to global warming. The return on the massive funds expended will
be zero or negative. Where are the politicians who will wake up and stop the PC nonsense?
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We are not a rock star economy. In 2014 the New Zealand Productivity Commission expressed
concern about low living standards and problems affecting the long-term drivers of growth. Paul
Conway, Director of Economics & Research at the Productivity Commission, wrote: "New Zealand's
broad policy settings should generate GDP per capita 20 per cent above the OECD average, but the
actual result is more than 20 per cent below average. We may be punching above our weight, but
that’s only because we are in the wrong weight division!" These comments were before the effect of
commodity prices collapse, including dairy prices. Our economy is not strong as National MPs kept
telling us and the current government will make it even worse.
.
9. Conclusions (All referenced through the paper.)
• The world is not warming any more than it has for centuries at not at all for 18-19 years.
Local research center has 2015/6 as the 19th hottest year on record. NIWA continues to
claim record hottest years all the time.
• CO2 is not causing significant global warming
• CO2 exists naturally in air – 97% of it is produced by the planet naturallyACT 1982
• It is not agreed that man’s activities are causing the increase in CO2 in the atmosphere
• There are not increased climatic disasters occurring
• Fraudulent data manipulation is rife
• The biggest scam the world has ever seen is happening – Even NZ is spending $billions on
the nonsense. There will be zero return on those $billions.
• The UN IPCC has a very serious political agenda masquerading as preventing global warming
• The great socialist plan has been progressing for 40-50 yrs. The Global Warming Fiasco is but
a part of it.
• The results of the plan are in our legislation, our universities, our schools, our local body
planning rules, and untold beaurocracy that want to destroy democracy and rule our lives.
They even say so
• The Paris IPCC conference in December 2015 should have been boycotted
• Existing carbon reduction programs should be abandoned
•
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All national and local body legislation should be purged of the influences of these sources.
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THE RECOMMENDATION OF THIS PAPER TO THE MINISTRY FOR THE ENVIRONMENT IS -
1. Boycott IPCC conferences.
2. Abandon existing carbon reduction programs and any climate change payments to the UN.
This paper is about the scam that man is causing CO2 emissions that cause the world to warm up
and cause climatic disasters. It is the biggest scam in the history of mankind. It is really about - yet
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another push for socialistic control of the world. Before Trump and Brexit it was probably going to
succeed.
For President Trump and Brexit, no polls predicted either of the USA or UK voting. Both eventual
outcomes were laughed at before the final outcomes, no one could believe they could happen.
That conceited conservatism is not where the voters that counted were.
18
10. References
Ball T, Dr Tim. Former Professor of Climatology at the University of Winnipeg
Bell, L. Forbes Magazine March 2015 - see http://www.politicalforum.com/current-events/400137-new reports-there-no-global-
warming.html. New Reports: There Is No Global Warming – Political Forum
Berner, Robert A, and Kothavala, Zavareth – Carbon Data taken from Yale Study ‘GEOCARB III A REVISED MODEL OF ATMOSPHERIC CO2
OVER PHANERZOIC TIME’. Department of Geology and Geophysics, Yale University, published by American Journal of Science Vol 301
February 2001 P 182-204 Graph shows temperature; CO2 over long period and confirms CO2 fell 7000ppm to 3000ppm and increased
from 4000ppm to 4500ppm with quoted temperature.
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Booker C. Christopher (2015). English journalist and author. In 1961, he was one of the founders of the magazine Private Eye and has
contributed to it since then. He has been a columnist for The Sunday Telegraph since 1990.
Coleman J (born October 15, 1934) is an American TV weatherman and co founder of The Weather Channel. He has retired from
broadcasting after nearly 61 years, working the last twenty at KUSI-TV in San Diego.
Crichton J , John Michael MD, (1942 – 2008) was an American best-se ling author physician, producer, director, and screenwriter, best
known for his work in the science fiction, medical fiction and thriller genres. His books have sold over 200 million copies worldwide, and
many have been adapted into films.
Curry J, Dr Judith, US Climatologist, Professor and former Chair of the Scho l of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences at the Georgia Institute of
Technology ‘STATEMENT TO THE COMMITTEE ON SC ENCE, SPACE AND TECHNOLOGY OF THE UNITED STATES HOUSE OF
REPRESENTATIVES’ Hearing on “The President s UN Climate Pledge” 15 April 2015 [email address]
de Freitas C.R. School of Environment, U iversity of Auckland. Dedekind M.O. Research and Development, BCD Consulting, Auckland NZ
& Brill B.E. P.O.Box 399 Paihia NZ “A reanalysis of ong Term Surface Air Temperature Trends in New Zealand. “ 2014
Driessen P. (2008) Senior policy advisor with the Committee For A Constructive Tomorrow and Center for the Defense of Free Enterprise –
a non-profit public policy institutes that focus on energy, the environment, economic development and international affairs. Author of
INFORMATION
Green Power, Black Death (Me ril Press, 2010) and co-author of Energy Keepers, Energy Killers (Merril Press, 2008).
Dyson Freeman FRS (born 15 December 1923) is an English-born American [5][6] theoretical physicist and mathematician, known for his
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work in quantum electrodynamics, sol d-state physics astronomy and nuclear engineering. Dyson is a member of the Board of Sponsors of
the Bulletin of the Atomic Sc entists.
Read more: http://www climatedepot.com/2015/05/27/new-recommended-interview-with-renowned-princeton-physicist-freeman-
dyson-dispels-global-warming-hysteria/#ixzz3dM84pAEC
Easterbrook J, Dr. Don J. Geologist Emeritus Professor at Western Washington University, a UN IPCC expert reviewer, has authored ten
books and 150 journal publications. Presented 31 research papers at international meetings in 13 countries outside the USA
Gallup Poll See www.gallup.com
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Global Warming Policy Foundation (2014) – A ‘unique all-party and non-party think tank and a registered educational charity which, while
open-minded on the contested science of global warming, is deeply concerned about the costs and other implications of many of the
policies currently being advocated.’ http://www.thegwpf.org/new-research-finds-earth-even-less-sensitive-to-co2-than-previously-
thought/
Goebbels P; Paul Joseph (1897 – 1945). German politician and Reich Minister of Propaganda in Nazi Germany (1933 – 1945) known for his
zealous orations and virulent anti-Semitism. One of Adolf Hitler's closest associates and most devoted followers. Strongly supported the
extermination of the Jews when the Nazi leadership developed their ‘Final Solution’.
Green, Kesten C. and Armstrong, J. Scott (2014) – University of South Australia and University of Pennsylvania, Director and Editor of
forecastingprinciples.com
19
Hirsch, R.M. and Ryberg, K.R., 2012.
‘Has the magnitude of floods across the USA changed with global CO2 levels?’ Hydrolological Sciences
Journal, 57 (1), 1–9.
Houston, J.R. and Dean, R.G., 2011. Sea-level acceleration based on U.S. tide gauges and extensions of previous global-gauge analyses.
Journal of Coastal Research, 27(3), 409–417. West Palm Beach (Florida), ISSN 0749-0208. New paper finds sea level rise has decelerated
44% since 2004 to only 7 inches per century – Published in Global and Planetary Change
Legates, Dr. David. 2014. Professor of Climatology, University of Delaware. STATEMENT TO THE ENVIRONMENT AND PUBLIC WORKS
COMMITTEE OF THE UNITED STATES SENATE.
Monckton C. Christopher Walter Monckton, 3rd Viscount Monckton of Brenchley, SMOM (born 14 February 1952) is a British public
speaker and hereditary peer. He is known for his work as a journalist, Conservative political advisor, UKIP political candidate, and for his
invention of the mathematical puzzle
Eternity. In recent years his public speaking has garnered attention due to his advocacy of climate
change denial views on the European Union, and social policy.
Moore P, Dr Patrick. Cofounder of Greenpeace and now global warming realist
Morano, M. Marc (born 1968) is a conservative American publisher. He has worked on different assignments in the Wash ngton political
scene, but is best known as founder of the website
Climate Depot, a project of the Committee for a Co structive Tomorrow. Morano was
born in Washington, D.C. and raised in McLean, Virginia. He has a bachelor's degree from George Mason University in political science.
Currently serves as Communications Director for the Committee For A Constructive Tomorrow and executive editor and chief
correspondent for the award-winning ClimateDepot.com, a global warming and eco-news center founded in 2009. Morano spearheaded
the 2007 groundbreaking report of 400-plus dissenting scientists and the follow-up 2008 r port of 650-plus scientists dissenting man-
made global warming fears; by 2010, a new 321-page “Climate Depot Special Report” isted over 1,000 international scientists who had
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turned against the UN IPCC. Morano's EPW website won a Golden Mouse Award in 2007 for improving communications between
Members of Congress and their constituents. In February 2010, Accuracy in Media awa ded Mo ano their annual Reed Irvine Award
alongside Andrew Breitbart, and in July 2010, Doctors for Disaster Prepare ness announced it would award Morano that year's Petr
Beckmann Award.
Penn & Teller Environmental Hysteria 2003. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yi3erdgVVTw Dec 6, 2006 ‘Penn & Teller get hippies to
sign a petition that bans water’ 2.9m views as at May 2015
Pielke, Roger A, Sr (born 1946). An American meteorologist with interests in clim te variability and climate change environmental
vulnerability, numerical modeling, atmospheric dynamics land/ocean – atmosphere interactions, and Large Eddy/turbulent boundary
layer modeling. He particularly focuses on mesoscale weather and climate processes but also investigates on the global, regional,
and microscale. Pielke is an ISI Highly Cited Researcher.
Pielke, Roger A, Jr. (born 1968). An American political scienti t and professor in the Environmental Studies Program and a Fellow of
the Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES) where he served as Director of the Center for Science and
Technology Policy Research at the University of Colorado Boulder from 2001 to 2007. Pielke was a visiting scholar at Oxford
University's Saïd Business School in the 2007-2008 academic year.
Plimmer, Ian Rutherford is an Australian geologist professor emeritus of earth sciences , professor of mining geology at the University of
INFORMATION
Adelaide and the director of multiple mineral exploration and mining companies . He has published 130 scientific papers , six books and
edited the Encyclopedia of G ology.
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Robinson Arthur Dr. Arthur Robinson, a distinguished chemist and cofounder/president of the Oregon Institute of Science and
Medicine (OISM), was honored recently in Las Vegas at the Ninth International Conference on Climate Change(ICCC9) with the Voice of
Reason Award presented by The H artland Institute.
Robson A, Dr Alex ‘Austalia’s Carbon Tax, an economic evaluation’ 2013 – N.B. unemployment also went from 604,000 to 720,000,
emissions increased, and electricity prices rose approximately 20%.
Russell B, Bertrand Arthur William - 3rd Earl Russell, OM, FRS was a British philosopher, logician, mathematician, historian, writer, social
critic and political activist.
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Salby, M. Atmospheric scientist - see http://notrickszone.com/2013/03/02/most-of-the-rise-in-co2-likely-comes-from-natural-
sources/#sthash.GVc8EEjO.dpuf
Swart et al. 2015.
‘Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea – ice trends.’ Nature Climate Change
Tice, P. (2015)
‘Schoolroom Climate Change Indoctrination.’ Wall St Journal.
USA Today 2015.
COLDEST AIR IN DECADES, Arctic cold front is responsible for the coldest temperatures in almost two decades in many
USA cities. Temperatures in some areas have not been this low since the arctic outbreaks of January 1997, February 1996 and January of
1994.
Watts Up With That? The world s most viewed site on global warming and climate change
20
11. Appendices
Appendix A
Temperature change fabricated by NOAA purposefully “cools” the historical monthly figures
prior to 1951 then purposefully “warms” the historical monthly records. The combination of
“cooling” and “warming” is done to promote ideas that modern warming is accelerating.
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INFORMATION
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21
Appendix B – CO2 to and from the atmosphere
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Summary Appendix B (IPCC information 2001) from the above information.
CO2 Going into the atmosphere
1.Global Gross Primary Production and respiration
119 GT
2.Oceanic release
88
3.Fossil Fuel Combustion and industrial processes
6.3
Total CO2 going into the atmosphere
213.3GT
% from Fossil Fuels and industrial processes
2.95%
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Long term range of CO2 in the atmosphere 300ppm to 7000ppm.
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Current level of CO2 in the atmosphere ~ 400ppm
The IPCC theory is that an increase of CO2 in the atmosphere from
350 ppm to 400ppm is going to cause Armageddon.
There is no historical correlation between high atmospheric CO2 and temperatures, or climatic
disasters.
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Appendix C – Data Manipulation
There are numerous concerns regarding manipulation of data in relation to reports and general
information regarding ‘global warming’.
Three themes are apparent (Morano, 2015):
(1) Prominent scientists central to the global warming debate are taking measures to conceal rather
than disseminate underlying data and discussions;
(2) These scientists view global warming as a political “cause” rather than a balanced scientific
inquiry
(3) Many of these scientists frankly admit to each other that much of the science is weak and
dependent on deliberate manipulation of facts and data'
The following are some of the concerns posted by Morano (2015):
Weather station temperature claims overheated, report claims: U.S. temp record ‘U.S. has been
systematically overinflated due to faulty data manipulation and ‘encroaching urbanity 'They started making
what they called corrections after the year 2000, which turned the USA emperature trend from completely
flat to fairly steep warming. The corrections were changing the temperature record. Several large adjustments
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hadn't been documented at all, boosting readings by as much as 1 5 degrees over older measurements'
All Claimed July Warming In The US Is Due To Data Manipulation SHCN has adjusted recent US July temperatures upwards by 1.5 degrees F, relative to the 1890s. The adjusted
July graph shows about 1.5 degrees of warming since 1895
'.
Meteorologist D’Aleo: NOAA and NASA Complicit in Data Manipulation
Flashback: Meteorologist Anthony Watts ‘In the business world, people go to jail for such manipulations of
data’
Watts: 'Is history malleable? Can emperature data of the past be molded to fit a purpose? It certainly
seems to be the case here, where is the temperature for July 1936 reported ... changes with the moment'
‘Adjustments breathtaking – to Arctic temperature record – is there any ‘global warming’ we can trust?
INFORMATION
UK Telegraph on new climategate: ‘Fiddling with temperature data is the biggest science scandal ever’
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Climategate 2.0: ‘Scientists frankly admit to each other that much of the science is weak and dependent on
deliberate manipulation of facts and data’
Climatologist: Global Temperature and Data Distortions Continue — ‘manipulation of temperature data’
CBC’s Rex Murphy Unloads About ClimateGate: It ‘pulls back the curtain on pettiness, turf protection,
manipulation, defiance of FOIA, loss or destroyed data and attempts to blacklist’
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INFORMATION
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Document 10
New Zealand Government Consultation
Re: Ministry for the Environment. 2018.
Our Climate Your Say:
Consultation on the Zero Carbon Bill
Submission of R Z Christensen
Knusel Information Tapui Ltd
www.skybicycle.biz
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on behalf of
Wild Horses of the Kaimanawas
Whales, Alligators, Monarch Butterflies
Several Species of Bird
Maidens, Babies etc
INFORMATION
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July 18, 2018
Contents
Preamble
p. 3
Some Matters of Science
(1) Gravitational Potential Energy
p. 4
(2) The Surface Equilibrium Equation for a Planet
p. 5
(3) The Water Cycle and the Tidal Cycle
p. 7
(4) Heat and Einstein Symmetry
p. 8
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(5) The Conversion of Atmospheric Heat
p. 10
(6) NASA and the Purpose of Gravitational Potential
p. 11
(7) Some Consequences of Independent Molecular Motion in Gases
p 12
(8) A Most Peculiar Prescription
p. 14
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A Core Value in Dignity Being Impugned
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p. 15
An Underlying Systemic Problem
p. 16
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Notes
p. 18
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Preamble
Laws of nature well known by the end of the nineteenth century are fabulously
ignored in the common salutations to the 'great' work of the Kyoto Protocols and
the Paris Agreement concerning greenhouse gases. As I have outlined already in a
submission to the New Zealand Productivity Commission, there is a virtuous,
heroic canard on the loose, in the campuses of the world and now in some political
circles. That being so, leadership must nevertheless weigh the forseeable damage if
we choose to deal not with the real science but rather with just an illusionists'
ersatz. Good on the perpetrators of the canard for rousing the politic to an action
stance! Now all we need is some drops of transcendence and sobriety. We must
leave behind a stale tale.
Just prior to the last general election in New Zealand, there was an up-and-coming
marginal party whose leader, through a trust he ran, employed a certain newly
graduated scientist to look into climate change. As it happens the party leader had
received a letter from me and had he been the kind of operational leader we look up
to in engineering circles, he would have been relishing the opportunity to force the
scientist into a debate with me. He would have been replying to my letter with
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exclamations of glee. "Now I have someone under contract who can be forced to
confront the omissions and irreverences! Do come by at your earliest convenience
and recite them to us!"
Sadly for his party and biography-to be, it appeared that the new scientist would
instead be employed to assemble ammunition. The party apparently had decided
that it would support the drive to reduce our greenhouse gas emissions without
first putting on the hat for interpreting laws of nature. It would succour a false
friend.
History will bear me out: that party did not cross the 5% thresh-hold and has now
lost its wind. The moral of the story might be that if you have a predetermined
agenda in approaching a question of science, you are likely to miss
INFORMATION the promises.
Alternatively the moral of the story could be about a fickle convenience in using
horse-muscle evaluations to determine the contents of a horse's saddle
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On page 15 of the Ministry’s discussion document, it is stated, "We are fully
committed to the emissions reduction goals embodied in the Paris Agreement".
While this sentence may have been written in a swelling of pride, it is actually
rather a disguised admission of negligence. Moreover the estimates of forseeable
damage due to climate change are more or less indications of the seriousness of
that negligence. I have assemble
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the climate change lies in the conversion of the energy of tidal motion. Either a pre-
determined agenda or some inapproriate horse-muscle evaluations could get in the
way of examining and developing the argument but such extraneous constraints
could be quite terribly counter-productive.
I will address the question of the 2050 target for emission reductions and, of course,
my position is that any such target is a folly. The proposal to constrain farming
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activities by applying such a target, using the law, is particularly offensive. It
strikes at the heart of the core values. Real science and evidence cannot be
completely ignored simply to appease some Lady-of-Gold official sentiment or some
phantom of the Zarathustra ticky-tacky.
The following essay begins with a brief discussion covering some of the science that
is being ignored. I then turn to discussing how this will impugne the core values of
the law. Finally although it is strictly outside the scope of considerations pertaining
to the Zero Carbon bill I discuss a systemic problem that may be giving rise to some
inappropriate reliance on horse-muscle evaluations.
This submission is best read in conjunction with my earlier submission to the
Productivity Commission1.
Some Matters of Science
(1) Gravitational Potential Energy
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INFORMATION
British scientist James Joule used this experimental apparatus in the mid-
nineteenth century. Gravitational potential energy is mined from the f
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weights and converted into water’s thermal energy. Gravitational potential energy
therefore appears on the canvas among the energies that are linked through the
law of the conservation of energy. Joule’s experiments were the inspiration for the
discovery of this law of nature. Energy cannot be created or destroyed, only
converted.
Joule and other scientists of the
OFFICIAL nineteenth century were able to calculate the
amount of gravitational energy that could be mined from a falling weight by using
the work-energy theorem and Newton’s law of gravity. This method in science
remains of proven utility value even today. It requires the determination of a
function for which the first derivative relative to distance is the Newton
gravitational force formula. Due to the work-energy theorem, gravitational force
can be seen as the first derivative of the gravitational potential with respect to
distance.
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As the calculus goes, the function we need to find for gravitational energy is not
unique. We can add any constant quantity of energy to get another function that
also will work according to the criteria. However this lack does not prevent the
calculation that we need to do if the motion is given a beginning distance and an
ending distance. That neatly applies to the case of the falling weights in the
apparatus. In this case, as in many others, the two distances are two values of
radius to the centre of the Earth’s mass. The constant is canceled out when the
pertaining energies are subtracted one from the other.
It has been thought to settle the constant so that the energy at an infinite distance
away from Earth comes out at zero joules2. This provides that all the other values
of the function will be negative energies leading possibly to the misconception that
gravitational potential energy does not really exist. (Somehow it will spring into
life when derived as a difference?) Today the question is of critical importance
whether that way of settling the constant is appropriate - because gravity is a
conservative force and we are relying on it to power up the tidal waters from which
energy for the grid is being taken.
The focus is on tidal turbines in particular because the tidal cycle lacks an external
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contributor of energy unlike the water cycle that pertains to the hydro-electric
turbines.
As outlined on company website3, it is possible to settle the constant so that the
energy at a point inside the Earth comes out at zero joules. The issue is not so
much whether the so-called neutronium point is the right distance away from the
centre of mass but rather whether the gravitational energies pertaining to points
near the Earth’s surface should be framed as positive to reflect the view that we
have a reserve in the gravitational potential.
Accordingly there is a category of evidence to be considered. We may wish to affirm
that the gravitational potential is a limited reserve, a positive quantity of joules
from which, and to which, other energies may be converted. Also w
INFORMATION e may wish to
deny that it is infinite in character. As mentioned below, one of the stand-out pieces
of evidence is the relative well-mixing of the tropospheric atmosphere.
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(2) The Surface Equilibrium Equation for our Planet
The greenhouse effect is something that certain models of the atmosphere do
predict will occur. These models tend to rely on an assumption about the
magnitude of thermal flux given at Earth’s surface being the Earth’s black-body
radiation. That solids and liquids
OFFICIAL radiate electro-magnetic energy in proportion to
the fourth power of absolute temperature is a well-known science4. One measures it
as a flux coming out of a body, at the body’s surface, but there is a factor in the
formula that can change from body to body and seems to depend on surface
characteristics such as shininess. Possibly it depends on some other influences as
well.
One thing scientists could do with the Earth is to divide its surface into types and
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by measuring the thermal flux exiting samples of each type we could arrive at an
approximate figure for the Earth as a whole. However the models we should
question assume that while Earth is in thermal equilibrium, the flux going out of
the Earth will match, energy-wise over time, the Earth’s received flux of heating
energy from the Sun. Instead of measuring the out-going flux, they rely on
measurement of the incoming flux. However this equilibrium equation is something
that must be rejected unless solid evidence can be found for it.
We may find one example of its application in the diagram on p. 96 of the IPCC’s
Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Here the incoming flux has been
divided into two components (324 + 168 = 492 watts/m2) and the out-going flux has
been divided into three components (390 + 78 + 24 = 492 watts/m2).
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INFORMATION
Another example of its application can be found in
An Introduction to Atmospheric
Physics by David G Andrews, published by Cambridge University Press. This
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textbook was recommended to me by Professor David Frame of the Victoria
University of Wellington Climate Change Research Institute. David Andrews is or
was a professor at Oxford University in Britain. His account of the theory of the
greenhouse effect seems on the surface at least to match the basis on which the
IPCC has rallied the world around a greenhouse gas emissions reduction program.
Their rough equilibrium equation
OFFICIAL must be rejected on at least three grounds.
Firstly heat energy received at the surface may be channeled into the Earth
eventually finding a repose in such contained internal cauldrons as may
occasionally manifest in volcanic activities. Secondly heat energy, especially in a
channeling context, may be lost to the energy of chemical bonds by endothermic
chemical reactions. Thirdly the distribution of the Earth’s mass may be gradually
changing over time. Internal heat energy may be driving a slow migration of mass
towards the surface whereby for a given rotational speed, in the Earth’s spinning,
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the rotational kinetic energy will be greater. It is at least plausible.
Good science should then be at pains to rule out the above-mentioned ways for the
Earth to act as a giant heat-sink without manifesting any surface temperature rise.
However as I suggested in my submission to the Productivity Commission, the
intent behind the atmospheric models of the IPCC, as supported by many
establishment scientists like the above-mentioned Andrews and Frame, has
probably not been a scientific one5.
(3) The Water Cycle and the Tidal Cycle
Water is essential to life. Our community of life-forms on planet’s surface, in
planet’s waters, would be lost without it. So the water cycle is a must-have on any
respectable curriculum suited to educating a human being. As I remember the
teaching, the Sun’s heating of the waters produces evaporation and water
molecules rise up. As they rise in the atmosphere, energy is donated to the
gravitational potential.
The idea that a wholesome unified set of natural laws applies, equally to this case
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of rising mass in the water molecules as to the case of the rising mass in weights
being lifted or stones being thrown, may produce the enchantments leading to
many students’ alignments in science. One will learn that the water cycle is
completed by the raindrop, river and stream, in each case there being a kinetic
energy of motion that is derived from the gravitational potential.
In the end, considering the water cycle as many repeats, water molecules rising and
falling over and over, the net drain on the gravitational potential is nil. This may
be entered as an hypothesis at the secondary school level. Later one may learn to
think of it as an upshot of the classification of gravity as a conservative force. When
we apply this to the tidal cycle, we find that a tidal turbine represents a net drain
on the gravitational potential. This arises because there is no external contributor
of energy, like the Sun.
INFORMATION
Judging from various responses to letters I have received, the official viewpoint
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runs that the gravitational potential is effectively infinite so nobody needs to worry.
My research suggests this official viewpoint is based only on wishful thinking
however6.
In a dispute context, such as in the context treated briefly below, in the discussion
of a core community value being impugned, it may be that one party has made an
allegation that the other has foun
OFFICIAL d unsupportable by the evidence. It is proper then
for the first party to furnish a rebuttal or a proof. For example, it may be that a
supplier’s special oil will not sink below the mercury as it should do, thereby
rendering a machine kaput. Then in the effort to produce a rebuttal the machine’s
supplier may discover there was a mistake made in the production. It was not the
special oil intended that got inserted, say. The mistake is accordingly to be fixed
and the dispute then enters a new, winding-down phase.
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One or two officials tried to give me some horse-neigh rebuttal, but only as parting
shot. There was no dispute they could discern, at least none they would confide. In
a real dispute context, expectations of some to-ing and fro-ing would have obliged
them to weigh my complaints more thoroughly.
If a proceedings of the International Court of Justice were to be confronting the
tidal turbine lobby with a proof-of-balancing request, it seems unlikely the lobby
would succeed in providing one. There is accordingly a category of scientific
evidence. The group appointed under Article 50 of the statute should be capable of
weighing it. Of course this is tied up with the matter of the appropriate constant
mentioned above. (See section (1).)
(4) Heat and Einstein Symmetry
At the end of the eighteenth century, scientists were ready for the idea that heat is
a form of energy. The found it could be produced by mechanical work As outlined
above, this idea eventually lead to the experiments of James Joule and the law of
the conservation of energy.
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In turning to the heat energy in a gas, scientists were able to verify a statistical
model in which the mean square speed of the gas molecules in a certain frame of
reference, when multiplied by the gas mass yields a quantity proportional to the
gas temperature. Through verifying this model, heat energy in a gas was found to
have microscopic components in the kinetic energies of the individual gas
molecules. Thus the contribution being made to gravitational potential by a water
molecule rising above the Earth’s surface, in the first part of water cycle, is now
also a lessening of the heat energy in the atmosphere (assuming a wind is not
driving it up).
Let us call it ‘thermal ground frame . This nomenclature leaves it open whether the
frame for the evaluation of molecular speeds is the atmosphere’s centre of mass or
whether something else applies. I believe it is a far deeper question
INFORMATION than what
some writers may have allowed for7. At any rate, if there is another frame moving
in relation to the thermal ground frame, and should we choose to evaluate the
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molecular speeds in this other frame, then assuming a random distribution of
molecular velocities, more speeds will be increased than decreased by the new
frame’s relative motion. Therefore in the new frame the atmospheric heat energy
will be greater than in the thermal ground frame. If we assume the quantity of
atmospheric heat energy is an objective facet of nature then a complementary state
is selected for the thermal ground frame, even if we cannot know it precisely. There
is no spurious motion belonging to
OFFICIAL the thermal ground frame, for the purposes of
the atmospheric events pertaining.
Let us now consider another entrance for the thermal ground frame. According to
the Einstein symmetry principle, considering in general where a light source and
an observer are in relative motion, the two possible cases of
'source-receding-from-observer' and 'observer-receding-from-source' are physically
identical. In other words, and comparing it to the doppler effect of sound, there is
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no medium for the light's propagation.
In sound the medium is air (say) and the doppler effect equation is different as
between the two possible cases. In one case, with source receding, the observer is
stationary. In the other case, with observer receding, the source is stationary.
Armed with the two different equations for the doppler effect, scientists found
themselves unable to explain the Ives-Stilwell experiment in which it is light
rather than sound being propagated. Einstein symmetry forced them to adopt a
kind of in-between equation: one and the same equation for both of the different
possible cases.
This has caused much puzzling. Someone soon discovered that you could get the
in-between equation from another set of considerations. The Ives-Stilwell
experiment features a moving light source and the pre-Einstein or classical
viewpoint takes it as a 'source-receding-from-observer' case. If we get out the
corresponding equation that applies from wave theory and the experiments in
sound waves, we are not yet able to model the exact results from Ives-Stilwell but
we're only a factor away, a factor that was dubbed "transverse doppler shift". In
other words, one can get to the in-between equation either by applying Einstein
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symmetry or by assuming the moving light source is subject to an unknown
influence that red-shifts its output by the transverse doppler shift factor. This
factor is of course dependent on the speed of th source but in what frame should
we evaluate this speed? Can we find some additional consideration that would
crown the thermal ground frame as the suitable one?
I have found that the Einstein symmetry principle can be dispensed with. For quite
a full range of the explanations physicists have been basing on this principle, an
alternative paradigm will suffice. An introduction is available through the cartoon
of the Permebasin Trust,
Sandy A Gravitational Horse. Interested readers are
directed especially to the note at the end wherein we rustle up an extrinsic
classification for the geodesics of General Relativity8. This extrinsic classification
opens up to a more progressive framework for the law of gravity as
INFORMATION found through
General Relativity
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To achieve the extrinsic classification, one supposes that the heavens advance in a
four-dimensional place. The rate of this advancement is one measure of time.
Another measure is provided through General Relativity and the tensor calculus.
The GR proper time is now the time of turning or the time of the seasons. Whereas
a photon follows null geodesic, there will be no such time of seasons for it but there
will still be a rate of advancement in the fourth dimension. Thus we may posit that
each geodesic path in space-time
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geodesic time factor, to wit a rate of using proper time (seasons) in relation to
standard time (advancement).
What indeed is the construction of the standard clock? It turns out that upon its
elucidation we can see that some additional hidden properties should apply to the
thermal ground frame. We may also be ticking off various encounters with
phenomena needing an explanation like the doppler effect of light. Where in the
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past Einstein symmetry used to beam up from the physics texts, there may in due
course appear a different form of beauty9.
There remains the detailed construction of the energy-momentum tensor. I have so
far been relying on an heuristic argument that this must succeed. The standard
time by the new time-keeper is a variable entirely absent from the GR analysis so
far. I reason there must be a way of transforming it whereby a coordinate time for
the energy-momentum tensor can be derived. In the process of refreshing the
underlying paradigm for the energy-momentum tensor, I do believe scholars will be
able to adapt ideas from the theory of the standard clock.
In the end, Einstein symmetry can be completely thrown away. I have become quite
certain of this. Among other things, this should allow us to close in on the tidal
action at an atomic and sub-atomic level, leading possibly to the invention of a new
means of containment for plasma chemistry. Of course we are a long way from this
invention yet but if we do not embark with the work of investigation and wonder
needed, we may never get to think of it at all.
The various considerations that have made me certain about the ultimate fate of
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Einstein symmetry do form another category of stuff being ignored. Indeed we
could probably continue to ignore this and still win a proceedings at the
International Court of Justice aimed to turn off a nation’s tidal turbines. However
on the other hand, this special category could add to the excitement.
(5) The Conversion of Atmospheric Heat
We have seen that the energy contributed to gravitational potential by a water
molecule rising as a gas can be counted as energy coming from the atmospheric
heat. Thus it may be quite disconcerting to read even the first chapter of the
Andrews text mentioned on p. 6 above. Andrews makes no mention of such
impact10.
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Turning to the IPCC, let us search the PDF of the above-mentioned tome,
The
Physical Science Basis using the term
wind. We may find that the IPCC has wind’s
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energy coming directly out of the latent heat of evaporation. Supposedly upon
release of this energy in atmospheric condensation events, the wind magically
acquires more energy. Poof; and hereby we have something that contradicts the
fundamental studies in condensation. Really, the energy of the latent heat of
evaporation is sensible heat upon its release. There must be an intermediary
process if ultimately it will be energy of wind.
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What process? We may rate as fairly obvious the prospect that gravity is involved
because atmospheric condensation events likely occur as sprinklings of tiny isolated
islands. (See the subject of cloud formation in a suitable reference text.) With each
such island in the atmosphere, there will be a heat bubble from the release of some
latent heat of evaporation and then a rising of molecules in the bubble, a
contribution made to the gravitational potential.
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Quite a body of evidence is being ignored that this is the way the common sort of
wind energy comes into being in the atmosphere. Gravitational potential is the
intermediary between atmospheric heat freckles and an energetic wind as in a
motion belonging to the bulked-up parcel of a large number of molecules taken
together. In turn, while this evidence is ignored, it is harder to see that the relative
well-mixing of the tropospheric atmosphere is a likely consequence of a change in
character for the gravitational potential. As we cross over the tropopause, we
probably need to compute a change of intension for the distance variable that
connects us to the centre of Earth’s mass in the formula for potential energy. New
potential differences at the new remove will not be in energy that converts but
merely in the likes of statistics.
(6) NASA and the Purpose of Gravitational Potential
The magic allocated to
wind in the above-mentioned IPCC tome may lead one to a
startling conclusion. From the conclusion that a canard has been cooked we may
step to the likelihood that the National Aeronautics and Space Administration of
the United States of America (NASA) has been involved in the cooking. That
carries with it another thought. The men and women involved probably were not
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able to tell everyone on the NASA staff.
It was to NASA websites that the Complaints Committee of Television New
Zealand turned when I complained about a news item11 that was aired on
November 14, 2017. Citing a narrative from deep within a long webpage about the
carbon cycle, they began with the words
NASA explains. This indicates their
tendency to treat NASA exclusively as a bon patron of good science, to shut out any
thought that an element of Big Brother may have gotten in there as well. (The
canard itself may have been heroic and virtuous but to stick with it no matter what
is slightly ruinous. Possibly this arises due to the organisation’s internal dynamics
whereas not yet all the staff are on board with it.)
NASA’s part in the canard introduces a problem. We must conclud
INFORMATION e that some of
the evidence put forward with NASA’s blessing, e.g. the evidence provided from
pyrgeometers, is inadmissable. So where exactly is the line that separates out the
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inadmissable evidence from the evidence we can rely on? Evidence pertaining to the
likes of atmospheric pressures aloft and nacreous clouds might be relevant to the
case against the tidal turbines but we would need to know that it could be relied
upon. Such evidences in particular may relate to the link between the loss of
gravitational potential since 1966 (date of the commissioning of La Rance tidal
turbine electricity generating facility) and the warming of the planet’s surface since
1966.
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As I outlined in my submission to the Productivity Commission, laypersons
(presumably the members of the TVNZ Complaints Committee are examples) may
be happy to rest with the explanation that the services of the force of gravity to the
atmospheric heat freckles (see above) have been compromised. Scientists interested
in my alternative framework for General Relativity may like to go further however.
They may learn to see that the gravitational potential energy has a function that in
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some ways is more fundamental than its involvement in the likes of tidal waters
and heat-freckle clearings.
In one or two places I have put the fundamental purpose as follows: the
gravitational potential energy, as in the global taonga, is necessary for the turning
of the planet in the heavens. Ultimately this is an unsatisfactory utterance that
attempts to compress several chapters worth of technical showing into a few words.
In due course, if such a showing can be brought to bear on the deliberations, we
may want to reach for the likes of some of the above-mentioned evidences. I hope
that then we can know the reliable from the unreliable.
Cleaning-up should be joyous for all but we may need to start in a spirit of
forgiveness. If all else fails, some NASA sinew could have their arm gently twisted
by the evidence in geographical skewing. Back radiation from the atmospheric
greenhouse gases - the Kings-New-Clothes claim that the TVNZ Complaints
Committee swallowed, after some imbibing from a NASA webpage12 - could not
produce the highly skewed global warming that we see developing on our planet,
even if it were made from the finest fabric in electromagnetic fields
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(7) Some Consequences of Independent Molecular Motion in Gases
Along with elementary studies of the water cycle, one will invariably learn that in
gases the molecules or atoms move independently while in solids they do not.
Liquids belong to a sort of in-between, in this elementary level account. Actually
the molecules in gases do cluster sometimes, typically when electricity is passing,
but for most purposes they can be treated as independently moving. Accordingly
the question arises as to whether they collide.
The answer to the collision question might be etched on the door to a department of
quantum mechanics. It can be a science student’s first encounter with numbers
that are weird. Given conditions of pressure and temperature around the levels we
know near Earth s surface, a molecule of atmospheric gas will colli
INFORMATION de about five
billion times per second Substitute the conditions at our tropopause and the
answer is still weird - about five million times per second. Science has settled on
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these particular weird answers like it settles most things in quantum mechanics,
through testing a statistical model13.
The upshot is that an energised molecule of gas is facing a completely different
environment than an energised atom in a solid. Can it hold on to its extra energy
sufficiently long to sustain the production and release of a photon into
electromagnetic radiation? Exper
OFFICIAL iments show that, in a gas parcel at twenty
thousand degrees Celcius, the answer is probably in the affirmative. Let us drop
the temperature by intervals from some such lofty height and observe how the
intensity of the electromagnetic radiation coming out of the parcel falls off. By the
time we get the temperature down to the levels we find typical in our atmosphere,
an unactivated gas parcel is no longer a radiator of any appreciable strength. It has
become instead a target for photo-acoustic spectroscopy, a technique that does not
work well at high gas temperatures.
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It may be argued indeed that Earth’s thermal radiation acts as a kind of activator
of the greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. However the lasers used in photo-
acoustic spectroscopy must then also be activators. Both produce photons that are
absorbed by (say) molecules of the carbon dioxide. The result of an absorption event
cannot be much different, comparing the two cases.
This diagram, taken from a paper by C.
Haisch and R. Niessner of the Technical
University of Munich, indicates that the
result is heating. One theory runs that the
molecule energised by an absorption event
cannot sustain its energetic state while
undergoing collisions with its neighbours
at the weird rate of the statistical model
that applies to its parcel14. So it loses
energy in the collisions and this appears
as heat energy.
As the greenhouse gases are only present
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in trace quantities in the atmosphere, we
can assume the absorption events are
sufficiently isolated to make the
corresponding heat bubbles equivalent to
the heat bubbles produced in condensation
events. In other words, we may expect the
heat energy introduced by these events to
be processed through the force of gravity
and turned into latent.
The theory of atmospheric back radiation is thus very problematic. (Its influence
may be seen in the diagram on p 6.)
INFORMATION
Some observers have attempted to justify the theory of back radiation by
attributing a loose meaning to the word
body. A somewhat many-faceted example
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appears at the website www.scienceofdoom.com
On the face of it disregarding omen in domain name, this website is a monumental
tribute to the virtue of the crew who have brought the greenhouse effect into the
world. The following quote from the conclusion section at the bottom of
Part II of
The Amazing Case of Back Radiation illustrates, as far as I can tell, an underlying
foot-put-in-the-mouth.
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“
Why does the atmosphere radiate? Because it is heated up via convection
from the surface, solar radiation and surface radiation. The atmosphere
radiates according to its temperature, in accordance with Planck’s law and at
wavelengths where gas molecules are able to radiate.”
Planck’s law as it would appear to be construed by the author of the website is
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entirely a fish out of water in this context. Gas molecules move independently of
each other and this does not apply to the constituent particles of any object to
which Planck’s law is applicable. It is by means of the order in objects of solid or
liquid nature that external surfaces are defined by the objects and Planck’s law can
be applied to them. It concerns a measurement of the electromagnetic flux
appearing at the surfaces, heading away from the body as defined, into the
surrounding spaces.
(8) A Most Peculiar Prescription
In 2012, the
Opto-Electronics Review published an interesting article by A. Rogalski
of the Institute of Applied Physics of the Military University of Technology in
Warsaw, Poland. Entitled
History of Infrared Detectors, of course it has many
references to bolometers15. There are many other types of detectors discussed in
this article but not one single mention of a pyrgeometer. On this basis, and upon
taking into account the novelty of the radiation balance measurement incorporated
in the design, the pyrgeometer can be suspected. Putatively it is not a bona fide
scientific instrument but something brought into existence for a marshaling of the
troops.
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The introduction section of the Kipp And Zonen Instruction Manual for their CGR 4
pyrgeometer16 states as follows:
“According to the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) a pyrgeometer
is the designated type of instrument for the measurement long-wave
atmospheric radiation.” (The preposition “of” after the word “measurement”
is indeed missing from the Kipp and Zonen statement.)
Possibly it is a result of such designation that the back radiation speil at the above-
mentioned www.scienceofdoom.com has one table 8.4 quoted from the illustrious
seeming Global Energy Balance Archive. Incoming longwave radiation is tabulated
as something measured by “pyrgeometer, upward-facing” and the
INFORMATION data volume has
been circled in red
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Just because the attestation of substantial atmospheric back radiation, by the
IPCC and by other mysterious benefactors, is an extraordinary thing, going against
the grain of other knowledge, it does not mean that the attestation is untrue.
However if good scientific method is followed, the measurement and detection of
the radiation will be performed not just by one type of instrument but by all the
types that have been determined to be competent. The designation of one type of
instrument by the WMO is a ver
OFFICIAL y confounding thing. It lends weight to the idea
that the WMO and the IPCC have cooperated in stitching together a canard.
That the designated type of instrument does not appear in a good history of
infrared detectors is then a whiff of confirmation that we have a canard, rather
than keen good science, in the position of the IPCC.
It surely cannot be too difficult to put a military-grade bolometer to the plough
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whence to add to the excitement that may now attend. However if the remedy
discussed below can be accepted more or less in its fullness, then the junking of the
pyrgeometers can play second fiddle and its sound may be lost.
A Core Value in Dignity Being Impugned
In paragraph (1) of my submission to the Productivity Commission I somewhat
compressed what now I will endeavour to explain more clearly. For convenience
sake, let me first repeat the paragraph.
(1) It is fair and sometimes necessary in commerce to withdraw from a
contract if one discovers that one has been induced to enter into it by a
material misrepresentation of the facts. The first maxim of equity involves a
balancing of wrongs and remedies and there is no reason why New Zealand’s
involvement in greenhouse gas emissions reductions should not be reviewed
in the light of the principles of equity.
In an imaginary case pertaining to misrepresentation, a shipbuilding company
orders and receives a ship component from a supplier. The boss at the shipbuilding
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company is married to a salaried high-flyer, a riser-of-the-ranks in the supplier
company. The component is received at the shipyard and inspected by engineers
who declare it to be junk. Does the shipyard manager reject the device for want of a
performance warranted or do they spare the boss from being torn by conflicting
affections, i.e. do they pretend that it is fit for service, say nought and cross fingers?
It can be quite critical in engineering, construction and medicine at least, to drive
certain contracts into a state of dispute In recent times the President of the United
States of America has joined with Professor William Happer of Princeton
University and certain United States Supreme Court judges to declare that there is
no truth in the theory of the greenhouse effect. Accordingly every nation, including
New Zealand, should be now driving the Paris Agreement and the relevant
Emissions Trading regimes into appropriate states of dispute. How
INFORMATION ever it appears
we intend to deal with this by applying an exotic form of hysteria instead.
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Will the boss of said shipbuilding company handle the dispute that is dealt to him
by raving madly at his wife?
The fortunate thing about New Zealand’s position is that it can, rather affordably,
have to hand a key to some global calming-down. Surely that key lies in the proof
that tidal turbines need to be disempowered and dispensed with17. Through the
argument one can arrive at an w
OFFICIAL holistic scientific understanding of the globe’s
climate problem and then more easily side with Happer and Trump on emission
reductions. By blocking the come-uppance of the argument, by promoting a wooden-
headed pursuit to Zero Carbon instead, the government may be like the wretched
partner in cards who though they do have the winning card in their hand refuse to
play it and win the game for the team.
People are turned into statistics by the crunches of an hysteria. The more this
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happens, the more the law may need to have a momentous referral in the offing to
the first maxim of equity. Some statistics that were once productive and happy
souls are so-many wrongs done, in a sense.
So let’s to the remedy chest because the viability of communities is at stake.
Article 50 of the statute that governs the International Court of Justice seems
tailor-made for the dispute we have on our hands concerning the probable cause of
global climate change. Only a nation state can take a proceedings to the
International Court but that just means that the government has a role to play. It
cannot in all fairness to the citizens simply close its official mind.
If the government arbitrarily rejects its role in the remedy then surely we cannot
pass muster in the matter of the law’s alignment with human dignity. Surely there
is a surrender of the human dignity in a wooden-headed pursuit that has no time
for careful scientific analysis and hence no time for the offences’ remedy.
An Underlying Systemic Problem
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In an Australian National Press Club Debate of 2011, between economist Richard
Denniss and the British Lord Christopher Monckton, the economist proferred an
analogy. A person with an unknown illness is taken around to various doctors of
medicine. They all concur on the one diagnosis. What can a poor nation like
Australia do, except to go along with such a diagnosis? Reading the illness as
climate change and the patient as the planet Australia’s leaders must surely copy
the diagnosis of countless experts in atmospheric physics. This was the message of
Richard Denniss. Hence of course, according to his way of thinking, it would be
immoral for Australia not to join the rest of the nations and aim for some
reductions in greenhouse gas emissions18.
In this analogy the physicists are portrayed as people practising a known art of
cure but the planet has not had the global warming problem befor
INFORMATION e. There is no art
per se. There are merely thinkers and researchers.
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In a thinking that seeks to apply the laws of nature to some unresolved matter,
calculus is an important tool. However there are two ways to teach and learn
calculus and they are somewhat fundamentally different. Unfortunately the
popular school curriculum, going back to the late 1960s or so, has dallied in a way
that introduces a profound problem. More or less, there may exist a background
conflict between a giant gymnasium expansion project and the wider interests of a
community.
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The gymnasium expansion project is (whimsically) a community’s educational
game from which doctorate students do emerge. It houses experts in various
academic disciplines but will sometimes fall short of answering to the core
community values because such disciplines will have a way of growing from
internal types of impetus.
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In relation to the teaching of calculus, the way that preserves and relies upon the
intensional qualities of the core symbols is much more likely to yield a student
informed about the laws of nature as known through calculus. The other way
involves using a derivational axiom system to provide the connections. In its
adherence to this second way, the modern curriculum typically produces a scholar
who, while they may warrant an office in the gymnasium, is not necessarily well-
equipped to think broadly.
Of course, laws of nature do abound when the topic on which we must think is a
practical one, like the global warming problem. Hence it would very appropriate if
university departments of mathematics and physics were to acknowledge the value
of generalists on the staff. In concept a generalist is a person who does not have a
silo of speciality. They should be sufficiently competent to prepare and teach
courses at first-year or second-year level in a wide range of relevant topics. The
elementary calculus as known through fully intensional symbolism and with
reductio-ad-absurdum proofs could be something to be taught by such a person.
Possibly they could go back to some nineteenth-century textbooks to connect.
However such calculus is inherently simple enough that one could well be giving it
to third, fourth and fifth form students at secondary school.
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The conflict between the gymnasium project and the community interest centres
around this question of whether a sprinkling of the intensional calculus in the low
and middle years of secondary school must be sacrificed, ruled out, because the
gymnasium prefers rather to covet its calculus and draft the students as a
neophytic corps. If we suppose for the sake of argument that the third, fourth and
fifth-formers do have the calculus then the plebiscite will shape up as better
prepared to thumb nose at a loose assumption behind the Richard Denniss analogy.
If there is no prior art, then let us all have a little think but Denniss assumes we
are not capable and need the experts to do it all.
Turning back to New Zealand, in a book called
Get Off the Grass by
INFORMATION our late
physcist Sir Pau Callaghan and his co-author Shaun Hendy, there are four
imperatives distilled, applying to the prudent way forward, from around 2012.
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Imperative number three is “connect, collaborate and open up” (quote). If we are to
take this imperative seriously then, if the heart of a matter is a community
problem needing careful thought, our experts in the field should be focusing first on
elucidation and only second on thinking the problem through. We surely cannot
believe that sufficient elucidation is done on the basis of some humming piped
through the walls of an information silo. The experts will have a party and dream?
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On page 15 of the discussion document, it is stated that (quote) “Greenhouse gases
trap warmth from the sun and make life on Earth possible. Without them, the
surface of the planet would freeze.” Is this a humming sound piped? It will be sad
refrain to put with this if we go forward unseeing on the wave to reduce the world’s
greenhouse gas emissions whence to think there has been a best-practice cure done.
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Notes
1. The URL for submission to Productivity Commission follows:
https://www.productivity.govt.nz/sites/default/files/sub-low-emissions-185-the-permebasin-trust-346Kb.pdf
A quick way to get the submission into a browser may be to search in Google (say) for
canard of pyrgeometer.
2. Physics Parts I and II, Wiley International Edition, Robert Resnick and David Halliday
(Library of Congress Catalog Card Number: 66-11527) section 16-9, pp. 406 - 409
3. The elementary picture we paint on our website, in checkpoints 3 and 4, two pages,
disregarding the cartoon of the Permebasin Trust, could easily have been a hypothetical
notion to many scientists at the turn of the nineteenth century into the twentieth. Our
neutronium point may not have been given that name, of course. In this picture, the
gravitational potential energy of a rocket (say) is set to rise and rise as the rocket heads away
from Earth, but only up to a point where it undergoes a change of identity and is then
effectively left behind. The underlying premise is that, for a rocket in general, the
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convertibility of the gravitational potential energy will relate only to the calculations
pertaining to its fuel supply. It is an empirical question whether or not fuel energy must
continue to be supplied at all times when gravi y is meant to be doing negative work on the
rocket. (See http://www.skybicycle.biz/chkpoint3.html)
4. Physics Parts I and II (as before) sections 47-2 and 47-3. In 1900 Max Planck found a
better formula for the spectral radiancy of a cavity radiator. Later this formula was applied to
a body more generally speaking, in particular to its external surfaces, in association with a
surface property called emissivity. If we integrate the formula between two points in the
wavelength spectrum, after factoring in the emissivity coefficient, we obtain a quantity
denominated as power per square area - in flux units. Where is the area in a gas? It would be
rather a wild leap to assume without an investigation that any abstract plane in space will do.
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5. Paragraphs (14) and (15) of my submission to the Productivity Commission are especially
relevant. If we imagine an historian of the future - there has been a canard overcoming, say,
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and it is some years in the rear-vision mirror - can we not see a person who has concluded
(with a sigh, possibly) that Mankind would have been lost without the canard? Therefore the
more deliberate and cunning the canard was, the more medal-worthy it was? The historian
may still be thanking their lucky stars, however, that the canard was eventually seen through
so that a win for the team, so to speak, was able to be scored.
6. Invariably people point to tidal friction in order to justify the view that tidal energy is
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effectively infinite. However zero officials have shown me any willingness to consider that
the energy of tidal friction comes exclusively from a planet’s rotational kinetic energy.
Actually gravitational potential can be perfectly conserved except when tidal motion energy
changes from being translational to being in the form of rotational kinetic energy (as by
turbine, for example). The alternative account of tidal friction seems to fit the evidence well.
7. There is a very interesting paragraph in the middle of page 580 of the Physics text quoted
above. It begins by explaining that (to quote) “the temperature of a gas is related to the total
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translational kinetic energy measured with respect to the centre of mass of the gas”. The
author then goes on to offer something of a lame defence for leaning on the centre of mass.
True, the temperature of a gas in a container does not increase when we put the container on a
moving vehicle. Nevertheless someone with an alternative derivation for the thermal ground
frame can demand that we separate out a molecule’s energy due to the velocity of its
container. Heat is only a contributor to the kinetic energy of molecules once their container
puts another contribution in.
8. The cartoon can be read from http://www.skybicycle.biz/sandy.pl
9. The new paradigm covers the gravitational red shift and the doppler effect by means of a
model for photon generation in which an appeal is made to the idea that the photon’s energy
will exist in motion in the atom (supposedly in the electon cloud) for the term of a shaping
session before it is dropped. Relativistic mass follows out of the theory of the standard clock,
as does the mass-energy equivalence formula. Schrödinger’s famous variation problem is
spared its squeezing into a shape for Lorentz transformation invariance. The wave from this
problem emerges as a real number related to the fundamental purpose I have discovered for
the gravitational potential energy (see p. 11). This list still leaves off one or two items like
time dilation but I see nothing yet to threaten the paradigm Rather to the contrary, it seems to
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reverberate very strongly with some of the recent frontier discoveries
10. See
An Introduction to Atmospheric Physics by David G Andrews, Cambridge University
Press, ISBN 978-0-521-87220-1. The model outlined in chapter one is rendered very abstract
by its failure to incorporate the gravitational potential energy of the atmospheric molecules. It
also suffers from the roughness, pertaining to the equilibrium equation for the planet’s
surface, that I have discussed above (See p. 5) Later in the book, Andrews uses a simplified
view of the radiation that he proposes is generated in the atmosphere. He sees the quantisation
of a molecule’s excited states as prefaced on a vibrational incapacity rather than upon the
incapacity of the photon generating system. What makes the subject matter of heat capacity in
gases so complex is that energy can probably be coming and going a bit from molecular
kinetic energy into molecular vibrational energy. (See notes 14.3 and 14.4 below.)
11. The One News bulletin of 14 November, 2017, discussed the effect of an expanding
INFORMATION
Chinese economy on global CO levels. In the story from the BBC, the BBC reporter said
2
‘this new research finds that more and more carbon dioxide is being released from power
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stations, factories and different forms of transport and this matters because the gas traps heat
in the atmosphere’. Probably the Complaints Committee read my
Open Letter to Our
Childrens’ Trust, (available from the Morepork’s Newsroom, www.skybicycle.biz)
discussing the application of the knowledge of photo-acoustic spectroscopy. In the end they
focussed on the claim of back-radiation. Indeed who would know? Such Kings New Clothes
would not be visible to the unassisted ordinary human being, whether real or not. I was
disappointed they could not look at the strong geographic skewing of the global warming
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whence to decide they were backing a sick horse.
12. The article cited by TVNZ was derived from the domain earthobservatory.nasa.gov. The
complaints committee quoted two very strident and unwavering paragraphs, including a
lauding of the greenhouse gases with (quote) ‘
Without the greenhouse gases, the Earth would
be a frozen -18 degrees Celcius’. The proof is in the pyrgeometer, one supposes. How else
was it ruled out that conduction and wind might do the trick of the warming blanket? Is there
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a bit of crowing going on, and has the sound been distracting to the author of the webpage?
Could they have forgotten something in balancing?
13. See, for example,
Introduction to Atomic Physics, by S Tolansky, 1942, Longmans,
Green and Co. In discussing the cluster formation that occurs when electricity is passing in a
gas, the author remarks that ‘at normal pressure a single molecule can make as many as 1010
collisions during the two seconds’. The calculations behind such figures are treated in the
textbook mentioned at note (2) above. The treatment in section 24.1 begins with the question
of molecule’s mean free path.
14. The Haisch and Niessner article was published in
Spectroscopy Europe 14/5 (2002), pp.
10 - 15. Near the end of the introduction section, the authors state
‘lasers are the preferred
excitation source nowadays for two reasons: (i) the PT (photothermal) signal, to a first
approximation, is proportional to the temperature rise in the sample and thus proportional to
the absorbed energy ...’ In moving so quickly from the temperature rise to the absorbed
energy, the authors have confirmed the impression I gained from the Physics text mentioned
at note (2) above, to wit: In so far as there might be a statistics of war-by-battering it predicts
that only very few molecules can survive with their vibrational excitation intact at room
temperature and ordinary pressure. The introduction section of another paper, as cited below,
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deals with this competition in an excited molecule between the process of flourescence and
the process of state depopulation via molecular collision. There is a process of flourescence,
but it will take time, like the shaping session mentioned at note (9 above.
14.1
Photo-Acoustic Spectroscopy in Trace Gas Monitoring - paper by Frans J.M.
Harren, Gina Cotti, Jos Oomens, and Sacco te Lintel Hekkert in
Encyclopaedia of
Analytical Chemistry R.A. Meyers (Ed.) pp. 2203–2226, copyright John Wiley &
Sons Ltd, Chichester, 2000
14.2 The authors of the encyclopaedia article indicate a time-taking in the
order of one hundreth of a second for the process of flourescence. (They note
the length of time may vary with environmental conditions.) Given such
molecular collision rates as are widely accepted to apply, the could-be-
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flourescing molecule must sustain a very large number of collisions, even
though the time-taking to us humans may seem quite short.
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14.3 With reference to note (10) above, one may indeed wonder: is the
quantisation in molecular radiation due to the molecule’s vibrational
incapacity or instead to a constraint on the photon-dropping mechanism? If the
latter then a very significant portion of the collisions at low temperature will
likely take some of the excited molecule’s vibration energy away. This makes
it easier to understand how photo-acoustic spectroscopy works. However to be
fair, one must entertain the
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cent, of the excited gas molecules have their vibrational energies sucked away
into heat. Possibly there is a remaining portion that give up their vibrational
energies to radiation. If we have true vibrational quantisation in an excited
molecule, there could be a statistics of war wherein the battered have an odds
of surviving.
14.4 The shaping session mentioned at note (9) above in the case of an
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emission associated with change of an electron’s energy level in the atom must
deal with a quantity of energy that has been determined by the atomic system.
In the case of molecular flourescence one may posit instead that the frequency
of molecular vibration exerts a dominating influence, preventing the dropping
system from developing any other beat. The dropper must wait until the energy
builds because its beat development is defeated.
14.5 Use of ‘military-grade’ instruments should be standard practice in
flourescence studies. Have there been any that might shed light? I am working
on an hypothesis that atmospheric back-radiation was unheard of before (say)
1984, the reason being that studies of earlier times were thought settling of
some of the basic questions about the statistics of the battering war on excited
gas molecules. My thinking is that modern Man suffered from an information
overload. Into that groaning there was an obstinate, unfounded doctrine
inserted. Those in the know found themselves forced to the outside. Feelings
of resignation were mixed with a new enthusiasm. Campuses were down-
converted. Possibly I have not yet assembled enough evidence for this
hypothesis but surely I have made a case that science is not yet being open
with the general public. Possibly it is not being open with itself. Science may
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be metamorphosing.
15. Opto-Electronics Review,
20, no. 3, 2012, pp. 279 - 308
16. On the subject of pyrgeometer innards, both Apogee Instruments and Kipp & Zonen have
recently had pyrgeometers for sale. The relevant owners manuals could recently be procured
online. The explanations found in these manuals do not satisfy me that the instrument is
sound in concept. The concept of a difference between two signals seems to have been
imported from the realm of electronics and voltages into the realm of radiant energies and
thermal detectors without sufficient basis.
17. There are some indications available from searching online that, globally speaking, the
tidal turbine lobby will be caught holding on to flimsy straws. Of course this is the sort of
portent that could well be firmed up by some state-level enquiry prior to t
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proceedings. Among the indications I found was the EDF Group’s web page on tidal power.
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https://www.edf.fr/en/the-edf-group/industrial-provider/renewable-energies/marine-energy/tidal-power
17.1 The stated EDF posture (on web page) in relation to energy balance
accounting was - “tides are a perfectly predicable phenomenon (unique for a
renewable energy source), they are inexhaustible and carbon-free, and they
have low environmental impact” (Quote)
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17.2 We should be careful to distinguish between tidal recurrence (it is
predictable that tides will recur) and the fitness of the energy extraction (it is
not predictable that the extraction can be done without ill effects).
18. Thanks to YouTube
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Document 11
Submission to the Select Committee in regards to the Climate Change Response (Zero
Carbon) Bil .
I am writing this submission with concerns in terms of this bil .
The first concern that I have is that some of the terms are ambiguous and should be more
specific. The first is ‘biogenic emissions’. I find the term to be quite unspecific. ‘Biogenic’ is
defined as ‘produced by living organisms’, therefore ‘biogenic emissions’ could be defined as
emissions from every living organism including human beings. Which organisms emissions
are being reduced in this case? I do not see any specific organisms being referred to when
discussing ‘biogenic emissions’. Another term that must be made more specific is term long-
term climate change trends’. What are the ‘long-term climate change trends’ that this Bil is
intending to achieve? And how do you measure that you have achieved those ‘trends’? The
final term is ‘climate change’. It is a scientific fact that the climate wil always change. It has
been documented that the climate has changed all the time and there is h storical evidence
to show this.
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I am also concerned with the lack of a plan of action if the targets are not met by 2050. If our
targets are not met by 2050 then we wil suffer from the environmental problems predicted
and that this Bil was designed to prevent The only response that this Bil offers is a
discussion and inquiry. However, the intention of this Bil is to provide a framework for
creating policies to solve the c imate change. The assumption being that we should have
gone past discussing possible solutions and begun the process of implementing solutions to
those problems. I would have thought that using this Bil , by 2050 there would have been
policies implemented to meet those targets and policies available if those targets are not met
by 2050.
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Another concern is that the Bil wil create an independent committee. But the
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of the committee means that there wil be no accountability if the policies and solutions
suggested by this committee do not work. Also the independence means that the policies
they draft wil exclude the input of other government departments that could be impacted
until they are introduced in Parliament. I am aware that the Committee wil be given powers
to consult different experts, but I am concerned that an independent Committee given those
powers because they could bring in experts who contradict the advice of the experts
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consulted by other government departments, and therefore there would be a conflict over
solutions.
This Bil is based on the assumption that climate change is a scientific fact. But I am
skeptical of the evidence that is put forward. First we should not be basing our decisions on
scientific consensus. Consensus is not a scientific measure for truth. It is simply a measure
for how many people believe a theory but that doesn’t mean that the theory is valid.For
example, during the 1500’s, the scientific consensus was that the Earth was flat, does that
make it true? Also, the study that documented this consensus was subject to criticism from
subsequent peer reviews for its collection method and sample size. (Tol) (Legates et al)
There is skepticism over whether CO2 levels and the temperature is rising. One study has
suggested that in fact the co2 emissions are actually slowing down due to the increase in
vegetation. (Keenan et al)There is skepticism over whether the co2 emissions and rising
temperature are harmful for the environment with one study suggesting that increasing levels
of co2 and heat are beneficial to the environment because it can increase vegetation due to
accelerated co2 fertilization.(Zhu et al) It is predicted that the Antarctic ice wil shrink but a
report from NASA indicated that the ice is gaining.(Vinas) As for the fears over the shrinking
glaciers, in reality that is to be expected because the size of the glaciers are constantly
fluctuating. This is usually an indicator of the wavering solar radiation due to the axis of the
Earth changing resulting in its poles varying in it’s distance from the sun. This has been used
to explain the rising co2 emissions and the greenhouse effect. These glaciers are even used
to measure time in which the periods when glaciers are at it’s prime are called ‘glacial
periods’ and periods when glaciers decline called ‘inter-glacial periods’. During ‘glacial
periods’ the glaciers wil trap co2 underneath it which wil weaken the greenhouse effect,
which wil cool the atmosphere. But during ‘interglacial periods’ the decline of the glaciers wil
release those co2, strengthening the greenhouse effect and hereby heating the atmosphere.
The reason that the temperature of the atmosphere is rising is because we are in an
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interglacial period called the Holocene period.( NOAA)
It is for these reasons that I oppose the Bil in its current form. I would recommend further
review, debate and amendment of the Bil The intentions of the Bil is too ambiguous, I am
concerned by the fact that there is no contingency in the Bil if the targets are not met by
2050, an issue such as this should not be handled by an independent Commit ee
unaccountable to nobody and there should be more debate over the science behind this Bil .
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References
1. Tol, Richard S.J. ‘Quantifying the concensus on anthropogenic global warming in
literature: A re-analysis’
https:/ www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421514002821
2. Legates, David R. Soon, Wil ie. Briggs, Wil iam M. & Monckton, Christopher ‘Climate
Concensus and “Misinformation” : A Rejoinder to “Agnotology, Scientific Concensus and the
Teaching and Learning of Climate Change”’
https:/ link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11191-013-9647-9
3. Vinas, Maria-Jose. ‘Study: Mass gains of Antarctic ice sheet greater than losses’
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https:/ climate.nasa.gov/news/2361/study-mass-gains-of antarctic-ice sheet-greater-than-
losses/
4. NOAA Glacial-Interglacial Cycles
https:/ www.ncdc.noaa.gov/abrupt-climate-change/Glacial-Interglacial%20Cycles
5. Keenan, Trevor F. Prentice, I Colin. Canadel , Josep G. Wil iams, Christopher A.
Wang, Han. Raupach, Michea . & Collatz, G.James. ‘Recent pause in the growth rate of
atmospheric CO2 due to enhanced terrestrial carbon uptake’
https:/ www.nature.com/artic es/ncomms13428
6. Zhu, Zaichun. Piao, Shilong & Zeng, Ning. ‘Greening of the Earth and it’s drivers’
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https://www.nature.com/articles/nclimate3004
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